Scenarios 2027 / Results / S02

Load test · S02 · Standard Severe · 197 nations

Single-supplier cut-off

A Economic and tradeScenario record

How far each nation’s capability index falls when this scenario’s load is applied to its capability scores, after its own buffers absorb what they can.

Read with care Second illustrative run, with exposure set nation by nation. The capability scores are candidate ratings and the test settings are GINC desk settings; neither has been adopted. Scores are from the GINC National Capability Index 2026, which describes them as candidate ratings. Exposure is set nation by nation from the CIA World Factbook 2025 and the scenario's regional exposure. Results show the method working on real scores; they are not findings about any nation. How the tests work.

Typical nation−0.42median change in index, points
Hardest hit−0.77North Korea
Lose a domain band138of 197 nations
Worth of best practice+0.16mean points recovered over current plans

Change in index, by region

One dot per nation. The bar marks each region’s mean. Further left is a larger fall.

−0.6−0.4−0.20Change in capability index, pointsNorth America 2United States: −0.11Canada: −0.22North America mean: −0.17United StatesEurope 42France: −0.25United Kingdom: −0.29Germany: −0.28Netherlands: −0.31Sweden: −0.33Switzerland: −0.37Norway: −0.35Finland: −0.31Denmark: −0.38Spain: −0.30Italy: −0.31Belgium: −0.36Austria: −0.37Poland: −0.41Ireland: −0.50Portugal: −0.38Czechia: −0.47Estonia: −0.44Luxembourg: −0.42Lithuania: −0.47Greece: −0.37Hungary: −0.46Slovenia: −0.51Romania: −0.41Slovakia: −0.50Latvia: −0.47Iceland: −0.42Croatia: −0.44Serbia: −0.47Bulgaria: −0.47Malta: −0.46Cyprus: −0.48Liechtenstein: −0.61North Macedonia: −0.55Montenegro: −0.48Albania: −0.48Monaco: −0.42Bosnia & Herzegovina: −0.53Andorra: −0.44San Marino: −0.60Kosovo: −0.60Holy See: −0.37Europe mean: −0.42China 1China: −0.16China mean: −0.16ChinaIndo-Pacific 30Japan: −0.27South Korea: −0.35Singapore: −0.34Australia: −0.29Taiwan: −0.42New Zealand: −0.30Malaysia: −0.47Thailand: −0.50Indonesia: −0.41Vietnam: −0.54Philippines: −0.45Mongolia: −0.64Brunei: −0.64Fiji: −0.45Cambodia: −0.68North Korea: −0.77Myanmar: −0.61Papua New Guinea: −0.55Laos: −0.60Samoa: −0.41Tonga: −0.45Timor-Leste: −0.48Vanuatu: −0.36Solomon Islands: −0.46Palau: −0.40Marshall Islands: −0.45Micronesia: −0.41Kiribati: −0.43Tuvalu: −0.38Nauru: −0.59Indo-Pacific mean: −0.47CambodiaNorth KoreaSouth Asia 8India: −0.24Pakistan: −0.26Sri Lanka: −0.34Bangladesh: −0.38Nepal: −0.26Maldives: −0.36Bhutan: −0.44Afghanistan: −0.25South Asia mean: −0.32Gulf and Middle East 16Israel: −0.13Türkiye: −0.21United Arab Emirates: −0.35Saudi Arabia: −0.26Qatar: −0.35Egypt: −0.26Iran: −0.29Oman: −0.39Kuwait: −0.41Jordan: −0.34Bahrain: −0.46Iraq: −0.42Lebanon: −0.30Palestine: −0.27Syria: −0.17Yemen: −0.30Gulf and Middle East mean: −0.31IsraelAfrica 53South Africa: −0.38Morocco: −0.44Mauritius: −0.46Tunisia: −0.46Nigeria: −0.49Kenya: −0.35Ghana: −0.51Algeria: −0.49Senegal: −0.51Botswana: −0.52Namibia: −0.60Rwanda: −0.47Tanzania: −0.48Ethiopia: −0.46Uganda: −0.48Côte d'Ivoire: −0.42Seychelles: −0.48Zambia: −0.60Cabo Verde: −0.43Angola: −0.58Cameroon: −0.47Zimbabwe: −0.55Mozambique: −0.53Benin: −0.41Togo: −0.41Gabon: −0.63Madagascar: −0.48Malawi: −0.41Eswatini: −0.59Sierra Leone: −0.49Mauritania: −0.57Burkina Faso: −0.54Lesotho: −0.61Mali: −0.46Gambia: −0.47Djibouti: −0.52Congo: −0.59Guinea: −0.52Niger: −0.38Libya: −0.72Liberia: −0.48DR Congo: −0.64São Tomé & Príncipe: −0.31Equatorial Guinea: −0.56Sudan: −0.47Burundi: −0.41Comoros: −0.34Chad: −0.50Guinea-Bissau: −0.37Eritrea: −0.49Central African Rep.: −0.40Somalia: −0.58South Sudan: −0.56Africa mean: −0.49LibyaLatin America and Caribbean 33Brazil: −0.20Mexico: −0.32Chile: −0.33Argentina: −0.26Colombia: −0.26Peru: −0.36Uruguay: −0.26Costa Rica: −0.32Panama: −0.40Dominican Republic: −0.38Ecuador: −0.37Trinidad & Tobago: −0.43Jamaica: −0.34Cuba: −0.35Paraguay: −0.47El Salvador: −0.39Guatemala: −0.31Barbados: −0.26Bahamas: −0.29Bolivia: −0.35Honduras: −0.43Venezuela: −0.42Guyana: −0.52Nicaragua: −0.48Antigua & Barbuda: −0.39Grenada: −0.36Suriname: −0.52Belize: −0.33Dominica: −0.31Saint Lucia: −0.33Saint Kitts & Nevis: −0.40Saint Vincent & Grenadines: −0.33Haiti: −0.40Latin America and Caribbean mean: −0.36Russia and Eurasia 12Russia: −0.26Ukraine: −0.29Kazakhstan: −0.36Georgia: −0.38Belarus: −0.48Azerbaijan: −0.46Armenia: −0.48Moldova: −0.35Uzbekistan: −0.41Kyrgyzstan: −0.42Tajikistan: −0.45Turkmenistan: −0.40Russia and Eurasia mean: −0.40
Lowest: North Korea, Libya, Cambodia. Highest: China, Israel, United States.

Does capability protect?

Each nation’s baseline index against its fall. Stronger nations absorb more of the shock, so they sit higher; so do nations with low exposure.

02.557.51012.51517.5−0.6−0.4−0.20Baseline capability index (0 to 20)Change in index (points)United States (North America): baseline capability index 18.03, change in index −0.11France (Europe): baseline capability index 16.64, change in index −0.25United Kingdom (Europe): baseline capability index 16.45, change in index −0.29Germany (Europe): baseline capability index 16.36, change in index −0.28Japan (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 16.26, change in index −0.27South Korea (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 16, change in index −0.35China (China): baseline capability index 15.64, change in index −0.16Netherlands (Europe): baseline capability index 15.5, change in index −0.31Sweden (Europe): baseline capability index 15.3, change in index −0.33Singapore (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 15.2, change in index −0.34Canada (North America): baseline capability index 15.06, change in index −0.22Australia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 14.95, change in index −0.29Switzerland (Europe): baseline capability index 14.73, change in index −0.37Norway (Europe): baseline capability index 14.62, change in index −0.35Finland (Europe): baseline capability index 14.52, change in index −0.31Israel (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 14.46, change in index −0.13Taiwan (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 14.03, change in index −0.42Denmark (Europe): baseline capability index 13.94, change in index −0.38Spain (Europe): baseline capability index 13.78, change in index −0.30Italy (Europe): baseline capability index 13.72, change in index −0.31Belgium (Europe): baseline capability index 13.46, change in index −0.36New Zealand (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 12.83, change in index −0.30Austria (Europe): baseline capability index 12.81, change in index −0.37India (South Asia): baseline capability index 12.61, change in index −0.24Poland (Europe): baseline capability index 12.39, change in index −0.41Russia (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 12.3, change in index −0.26Türkiye (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 12.18, change in index −0.21Ireland (Europe): baseline capability index 12.08, change in index −0.50United Arab Emirates (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 11.94, change in index −0.35Brazil (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 11.69, change in index −0.20Portugal (Europe): baseline capability index 11.68, change in index −0.38Czechia (Europe): baseline capability index 11.51, change in index −0.47Estonia (Europe): baseline capability index 11.49, change in index −0.44Malaysia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 11.48, change in index −0.47Saudi Arabia (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 11.19, change in index −0.26Mexico (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 10.85, change in index −0.32Luxembourg (Europe): baseline capability index 10.79, change in index −0.42South Africa (Africa): baseline capability index 10.77, change in index −0.38Lithuania (Europe): baseline capability index 10.75, change in index −0.47Thailand (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 10.7, change in index −0.50Chile (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 10.61, change in index −0.33Greece (Europe): baseline capability index 10.61, change in index −0.37Hungary (Europe): baseline capability index 10.51, change in index −0.46Slovenia (Europe): baseline capability index 10.48, change in index −0.51Romania (Europe): baseline capability index 10.16, change in index −0.41Slovakia (Europe): baseline capability index 10.1, change in index −0.50Indonesia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 9.97, change in index −0.41Latvia (Europe): baseline capability index 9.89, change in index −0.47Vietnam (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 9.68, change in index −0.54Iceland (Europe): baseline capability index 9.63, change in index −0.42Croatia (Europe): baseline capability index 9.53, change in index −0.44Ukraine (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 9.4, change in index −0.29Qatar (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 9.39, change in index −0.35Morocco (Africa): baseline capability index 9.36, change in index −0.44Argentina (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 9.25, change in index −0.26Colombia (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 9.11, change in index −0.26Egypt (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 8.98, change in index −0.26Serbia (Europe): baseline capability index 8.97, change in index −0.47Bulgaria (Europe): baseline capability index 8.95, change in index −0.47Malta (Europe): baseline capability index 8.89, change in index −0.46Philippines (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 8.83, change in index −0.45Peru (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 8.61, change in index −0.36Uruguay (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 8.54, change in index −0.26Cyprus (Europe): baseline capability index 8.51, change in index −0.48Iran (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 8.17, change in index −0.29Kazakhstan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 8.14, change in index −0.36Mauritius (Africa): baseline capability index 8.08, change in index −0.46Oman (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 8.03, change in index −0.39Pakistan (South Asia): baseline capability index 7.96, change in index −0.26Costa Rica (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 7.76, change in index −0.32Tunisia (Africa): baseline capability index 7.71, change in index −0.46Georgia (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 7.55, change in index −0.38Kuwait (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 7.51, change in index −0.41Jordan (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 7.5, change in index −0.34Nigeria (Africa): baseline capability index 7.43, change in index −0.49Bahrain (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 7.32, change in index −0.46Sri Lanka (South Asia): baseline capability index 7.25, change in index −0.34Liechtenstein (Europe): baseline capability index 7.22, change in index −0.61Kenya (Africa): baseline capability index 7.18, change in index −0.35Panama (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 7.17, change in index −0.40Ghana (Africa): baseline capability index 6.98, change in index −0.51Algeria (Africa): baseline capability index 6.96, change in index −0.49Belarus (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 6.9, change in index −0.48Dominican Republic (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 6.82, change in index −0.38Azerbaijan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 6.79, change in index −0.46Ecuador (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 6.76, change in index −0.37Bangladesh (South Asia): baseline capability index 6.73, change in index −0.38Trinidad & Tobago (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 6.69, change in index −0.43Armenia (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 6.65, change in index −0.48North Macedonia (Europe): baseline capability index 6.61, change in index −0.55Senegal (Africa): baseline capability index 6.42, change in index −0.51Montenegro (Europe): baseline capability index 6.35, change in index −0.48Moldova (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 6.34, change in index −0.35Jamaica (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 6.24, change in index −0.34Albania (Europe): baseline capability index 6.13, change in index −0.48Botswana (Africa): baseline capability index 6.08, change in index −0.52Namibia (Africa): baseline capability index 5.95, change in index −0.60Cuba (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.95, change in index −0.35Rwanda (Africa): baseline capability index 5.95, change in index −0.47Uzbekistan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 5.92, change in index −0.41Monaco (Europe): baseline capability index 5.91, change in index −0.42Tanzania (Africa): baseline capability index 5.82, change in index −0.48Bosnia & Herzegovina (Europe): baseline capability index 5.8, change in index −0.53Paraguay (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.79, change in index −0.47Mongolia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 5.73, change in index −0.64Ethiopia (Africa): baseline capability index 5.7, change in index −0.46El Salvador (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.68, change in index −0.39Guatemala (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.67, change in index −0.31Brunei (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 5.6, change in index −0.64Barbados (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.56, change in index −0.26Uganda (Africa): baseline capability index 5.53, change in index −0.48Côte d'Ivoire (Africa): baseline capability index 5.42, change in index −0.42Seychelles (Africa): baseline capability index 5.27, change in index −0.48Bahamas (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.16, change in index −0.29Fiji (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 5.16, change in index −0.45Andorra (Europe): baseline capability index 5.15, change in index −0.44Bolivia (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.11, change in index −0.35Honduras (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.05, change in index −0.43San Marino (Europe): baseline capability index 5.03, change in index −0.60Nepal (South Asia): baseline capability index 4.96, change in index −0.26Zambia (Africa): baseline capability index 4.93, change in index −0.60Cambodia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 4.93, change in index −0.68Kyrgyzstan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 4.77, change in index −0.42Cabo Verde (Africa): baseline capability index 4.72, change in index −0.43Kosovo (Europe): baseline capability index 4.7, change in index −0.60Iraq (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 4.69, change in index −0.42Lebanon (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 4.66, change in index −0.30Maldives (South Asia): baseline capability index 4.62, change in index −0.36Angola (Africa): baseline capability index 4.6, change in index −0.58Venezuela (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.55, change in index −0.42Guyana (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.53, change in index −0.52Cameroon (Africa): baseline capability index 4.39, change in index −0.47Nicaragua (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.37, change in index −0.48Antigua & Barbuda (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.36, change in index −0.39Zimbabwe (Africa): baseline capability index 4.34, change in index −0.55North Korea (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 4.26, change in index −0.77Mozambique (Africa): baseline capability index 4.12, change in index −0.53Benin (Africa): baseline capability index 4.09, change in index −0.41Togo (Africa): baseline capability index 4.05, change in index −0.41Grenada (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.04, change in index −0.36Suriname (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.04, change in index −0.52Belize (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.03, change in index −0.33Tajikistan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 4.01, change in index −0.45Gabon (Africa): baseline capability index 3.94, change in index −0.63Bhutan (South Asia): baseline capability index 3.93, change in index −0.44Madagascar (Africa): baseline capability index 3.9, change in index −0.48Myanmar (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 3.89, change in index −0.61Dominica (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 3.87, change in index −0.31Saint Lucia (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 3.85, change in index −0.33Saint Kitts & Nevis (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 3.83, change in index −0.40Papua New Guinea (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 3.8, change in index −0.55Malawi (Africa): baseline capability index 3.76, change in index −0.41Saint Vincent & Grenadines (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 3.76, change in index −0.33Palestine (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 3.72, change in index −0.27Eswatini (Africa): baseline capability index 3.71, change in index −0.59Laos (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 3.7, change in index −0.60Sierra Leone (Africa): baseline capability index 3.59, change in index −0.49Mauritania (Africa): baseline capability index 3.58, change in index −0.57Turkmenistan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 3.55, change in index −0.40Samoa (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 3.48, change in index −0.41Burkina Faso (Africa): baseline capability index 3.47, change in index −0.54Lesotho (Africa): baseline capability index 3.43, change in index −0.61Mali (Africa): baseline capability index 3.41, change in index −0.46Gambia (Africa): baseline capability index 3.32, change in index −0.47Tonga (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 3.21, change in index −0.45Djibouti (Africa): baseline capability index 3.2, change in index −0.52Congo (Africa): baseline capability index 3.19, change in index −0.59Guinea (Africa): baseline capability index 3.15, change in index −0.52Niger (Africa): baseline capability index 3.07, change in index −0.38Libya (Africa): baseline capability index 3.01, change in index −0.72Timor-Leste (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.98, change in index −0.48Liberia (Africa): baseline capability index 2.93, change in index −0.48Vanuatu (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.93, change in index −0.36Solomon Islands (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.91, change in index −0.46DR Congo (Africa): baseline capability index 2.87, change in index −0.64São Tomé & Príncipe (Africa): baseline capability index 2.85, change in index −0.31Palau (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.84, change in index −0.40Equatorial Guinea (Africa): baseline capability index 2.8, change in index −0.56Sudan (Africa): baseline capability index 2.61, change in index −0.47Burundi (Africa): baseline capability index 2.48, change in index −0.41Marshall Islands (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.48, change in index −0.45Micronesia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.33, change in index −0.41Comoros (Africa): baseline capability index 2.29, change in index −0.34Chad (Africa): baseline capability index 2.26, change in index −0.50Syria (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 2.22, change in index −0.17Kiribati (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.2, change in index −0.43Tuvalu (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.12, change in index −0.38Guinea-Bissau (Africa): baseline capability index 2.07, change in index −0.37Haiti (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 2.03, change in index −0.40Eritrea (Africa): baseline capability index 2.01, change in index −0.49Nauru (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 1.96, change in index −0.59Holy See (Europe): baseline capability index 1.85, change in index −0.37Central African Rep. (Africa): baseline capability index 1.66, change in index −0.40Yemen (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 1.62, change in index −0.30Somalia (Africa): baseline capability index 1.62, change in index −0.58Afghanistan (South Asia): baseline capability index 1.46, change in index −0.25South Sudan (Africa): baseline capability index 1.38, change in index −0.56United StatesChinaIsraelCambodiaNorth KoreaLibya
North AmericaEuropeChinaIndo-PacificSouth AsiaGulf and Middle EastAfricaLatin America and CaribbeanRussia and Eurasia

Where the load lands

Mean change in each capability domain across all nations.

Governance & Integrity−0.77
Production & Innovation−0.77
Trade & Investment−0.77
Critical Technology−0.56
Human Capital−0.38
National Security−0.29
Strategic Infrastructure−0.24
Information & Influence0.00
Financial Strength0.00

What policy is worth

The 20 hardest-hit nations under three policy responses. The distance from circle to square is what current buffers absorb; from square to diamond is what best practice would add.

−0.8−0.6−0.4−0.20.0Change in capability index, pointsNorth KoreaNorth Korea, no response: −0.92North Korea, current plans: −0.77North Korea, best practice: −0.44LibyaLibya, no response: −0.83Libya, current plans: −0.72Libya, best practice: −0.40CambodiaCambodia, no response: −0.84Cambodia, current plans: −0.68Cambodia, best practice: −0.39MongoliaMongolia, no response: −0.83Mongolia, current plans: −0.64Mongolia, best practice: −0.38BruneiBrunei, no response: −0.83Brunei, current plans: −0.64Brunei, best practice: −0.38DR CongoDR Congo, no response: −0.74DR Congo, current plans: −0.64DR Congo, best practice: −0.34GabonGabon, no response: −0.77Gabon, current plans: −0.63Gabon, best practice: −0.35LiechtensteinLiechtenstein, no response: −0.82Liechtenstein, current plans: −0.61Liechtenstein, best practice: −0.38MyanmarMyanmar, no response: −0.74Myanmar, current plans: −0.61Myanmar, best practice: −0.33LesothoLesotho, no response: −0.70Lesotho, current plans: −0.61Lesotho, best practice: −0.32NamibiaNamibia, no response: −0.77Namibia, current plans: −0.60Namibia, best practice: −0.35San MarinoSan Marino, no response: −0.72San Marino, current plans: −0.60San Marino, best practice: −0.33ZambiaZambia, no response: −0.76Zambia, current plans: −0.60Zambia, best practice: −0.35KosovoKosovo, no response: −0.70Kosovo, current plans: −0.60Kosovo, best practice: −0.33LaosLaos, no response: −0.71Laos, current plans: −0.60Laos, best practice: −0.33EswatiniEswatini, no response: −0.69Eswatini, current plans: −0.59Eswatini, best practice: −0.32CongoCongo, no response: −0.69Congo, current plans: −0.59Congo, best practice: −0.32NauruNauru, no response: −0.63Nauru, current plans: −0.59Nauru, best practice: −0.32AngolaAngola, no response: −0.75Angola, current plans: −0.58Angola, best practice: −0.35SomaliaSomalia, no response: −0.60Somalia, current plans: −0.58Somalia, best practice: −0.31
No responseCurrent plansBest practice
Run three times: no response (absorption zero), current plans (the nation's own buffers) and best practice (buffers lifted to Advanced where they are lower).

All 197 nations

Rank shift is the change in the nation’s place among all nations once every index is stressed: up means it held up better than its neighbours. The weakest point is the capability left lowest among those the scenario singles out.

Weakest point
North KoreaIndo-PacificHigh 1.004.263.49−0.77−18.1▼ 918 · 1d19%Global Value Chain Position 0 · Inception
LibyaAfricaHigh 0.973.012.29−0.72−23.8▼ 62116%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
CambodiaIndo-PacificHigh 0.944.934.25−0.68−13.8▼ 517 · 1d20%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
MongoliaIndo-PacificHigh 0.915.735.10−0.64−11.1▼ 410 · 2d25%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
BruneiIndo-PacificHigh 0.955.604.96−0.64−11.4▼ 315 · 2d25%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
DR CongoAfricaHigh 0.882.872.23−0.64−22.3▼ 320 · 3d15%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
GabonAfricaHigh 0.903.943.31−0.63−15.9▼ 817 · 1d20%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
LiechtensteinEuropeHigh 0.967.226.61−0.61−8.4▼ 216 · 4d28%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
MyanmarIndo-PacificHigh 0.783.893.27−0.61−15.7▼ 612 · 2d19%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
LesothoAfricaHigh 0.873.432.82−0.61−17.8▼ 217 · 2d14%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
NamibiaAfricaHigh 0.835.955.36−0.60−10.0▼ 510 · 2d24%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
San MarinoEuropeHigh 0.955.034.42−0.60−12.0▼ 112 · 2d17%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
ZambiaAfricaHigh 0.844.934.33−0.60−12.2▼ 21122%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
KosovoEuropeHigh 0.794.704.11−0.60−12.7▼ 4916%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
LaosIndo-PacificHigh 0.833.703.10−0.60−16.3▼ 219 · 1d15%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
EswatiniAfricaHigh 0.843.713.12−0.59−15.9▼ 11216%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
CongoAfricaHigh 0.833.192.60−0.59−18.5▼ 220 · 3d15%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
NauruIndo-PacificHigh 0.941.961.37−0.59−30.2▼ 17 · 2d8%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
AngolaAfricaHigh 0.834.604.02−0.58−12.7▼ 11023%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
SomaliaAfricaHigh 0.861.621.04−0.58−35.9▼ 115%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
MauritaniaAfricaHigh 0.793.583.01−0.57−16.0▼ 212 · 2d18%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
Equatorial GuineaAfricaHigh 0.812.802.24−0.56−20.1▲ 117 · 2d16%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
South SudanAfricaHigh 0.921.380.82−0.56−40.6037%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
North MacedoniaEuropeHigh 0.766.616.06−0.55−8.3012 · 3d26%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
ZimbabweAfricaHigh 0.704.343.78−0.55−12.7011 · 2d18%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Papua New GuineaIndo-PacificHigh 0.783.803.25−0.55−14.4▼ 312 · 1d20%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
VietnamIndo-PacificHigh 0.949.689.14−0.54−5.6▼ 11743%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 3.2 · Nascent
Burkina FasoAfricaHigh 0.723.472.93−0.54−15.7▼ 118 · 2d13%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
Bosnia & HerzegovinaEuropeHigh 0.715.805.26−0.53−9.2▼ 410 · 3d22%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
MozambiqueAfricaHigh 0.734.123.59−0.53−12.9▼ 31221%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
BotswanaAfricaHigh 0.746.085.56−0.52−8.5▼ 115 · 2d25%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
GuyanaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.764.534.01−0.52−11.508 · 1d21%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
SurinameLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.754.043.52−0.52−12.8▼ 316 · 2d17%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
DjiboutiAfricaHigh 0.713.202.68−0.52−16.3▼ 115 · 1d11%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
GuineaAfricaHigh 0.713.152.63−0.52−16.4011 · 2d15%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
SloveniaEuropeHigh 0.8710.489.97−0.51−4.9012 · 1d42%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 1.7 · Inception
GhanaAfricaHigh 0.726.986.47−0.51−7.3011 · 1d29%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
SenegalAfricaHigh 0.696.425.91−0.51−7.9▼ 120 · 1d26%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
IrelandEuropeHigh 0.9012.0811.58−0.50−4.1▼ 116 · 1d45%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 6.2 · Foundational
ThailandIndo-PacificHigh 0.8910.7010.20−0.50−4.6▼ 212 · 3d45%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 3.5 · Nascent
SlovakiaEuropeHigh 0.8610.109.59−0.50−5.0018 · 3d42%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 1.5 · Inception
ChadAfricaHigh 0.692.261.76−0.50−22.0▼ 211 · 1d10%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
NigeriaAfricaHigh 0.727.436.93−0.49−6.7010 · 1d32%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
AlgeriaAfricaHigh 0.746.966.47−0.49−7.0013 · 2d33%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Sierra LeoneAfricaHigh 0.673.593.10−0.49−13.6015 · 3d15%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
EritreaAfricaHigh 0.672.011.52−0.49−24.406 · 1d8%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
CyprusEuropeHigh 0.668.518.03−0.48−5.6015 · 1d28%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
BelarusRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.706.906.42−0.48−7.0▼ 118 · 3d32%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 2.1 · Inception
ArmeniaRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.626.656.17−0.48−7.2013 · 2d23%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.4 · Inception
MontenegroEuropeHigh 0.636.355.87−0.48−7.5▼ 211 · 4d22%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
AlbaniaEuropeHigh 0.656.135.65−0.48−7.8014 · 4d23%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
TanzaniaAfricaHigh 0.655.825.35−0.48−8.2▼ 114 · 2d25%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
UgandaAfricaHigh 0.625.535.05−0.48−8.8▲ 114 · 3d21%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
SeychellesAfricaHigh 0.685.274.79−0.48−9.2▼ 115 · 1d17%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
NicaraguaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.634.373.89−0.48−10.9▼ 113 · 2d19%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
MadagascarAfricaHigh 0.633.903.42−0.48−12.4▼ 4718%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
Timor-LesteIndo-PacificHigh 0.682.982.51−0.48−16.0▼ 111 · 1d12%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
LiberiaAfricaHigh 0.652.932.46−0.48−16.3▼ 114 · 1d11%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
CzechiaEuropeHigh 0.8611.5111.04−0.47−4.1▼ 114 · 3d45%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 5.4 · Nascent
MalaysiaIndo-PacificHigh 0.9111.4811.01−0.47−4.1017 · 2d49%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 7.7 · Foundational
LithuaniaEuropeHigh 0.7810.7510.28−0.47−4.301641%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 1.9 · Inception
LatviaEuropeHigh 0.729.899.42−0.47−4.8022 · 1d35%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.8 · Inception
SerbiaEuropeHigh 0.748.978.49−0.47−5.3021 · 1d37%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 1.4 · Inception
BulgariaEuropeHigh 0.738.958.48−0.47−5.3017 · 2d36%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 1.4 · Inception
RwandaAfricaHigh 0.615.955.48−0.47−7.8▼ 214 · 2d22%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
ParaguayLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.645.795.31−0.47−8.2015 · 2d23%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
CameroonAfricaHigh 0.624.393.92−0.47−10.7▼ 19 · 1d19%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
GambiaAfricaHigh 0.623.322.85−0.47−14.2▲ 112 · 2d11%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
SudanAfricaMedium 0.572.612.14−0.47−17.8010 · 1d12%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
HungaryEuropeHigh 0.7910.5110.06−0.46−4.4017 · 2d42%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 3.5 · Nascent
MaltaEuropeHigh 0.688.898.42−0.46−5.2012 · 2d31%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.8 · Inception
MauritiusAfricaHigh 0.668.087.62−0.46−5.7▼ 210 · 1d30%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
TunisiaAfricaHigh 0.687.717.26−0.46−6.0019 · 2d33%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.8 · Inception
BahrainGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.677.326.86−0.46−6.3▼ 11531%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
AzerbaijanRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.696.796.33−0.46−6.8▼ 210 · 1d32%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
EthiopiaAfricaHigh 0.605.705.23−0.46−8.1▼ 215 · 3d23%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
MaliAfricaHigh 0.613.412.95−0.46−13.6▲ 217 · 2d14%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
Solomon IslandsIndo-PacificHigh 0.632.912.45−0.46−15.7011 · 2d10%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
PhilippinesIndo-PacificHigh 0.708.838.39−0.45−5.1012 · 3d37%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 2.8 · Inception
FijiIndo-PacificHigh 0.635.164.71−0.45−8.7▼ 21219%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
TajikistanRussia and EurasiaMedium 0.604.013.55−0.45−11.3▲ 112 · 1d17%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
TongaIndo-PacificHigh 0.633.212.75−0.45−14.1012 · 2d10%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
Marshall IslandsIndo-PacificHigh 0.632.482.03−0.45−18.1▼ 15 · 1d9%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
EstoniaEuropeHigh 0.7411.4911.05−0.44−3.8▲ 18 · 2d41%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 1.2 · Inception
CroatiaEuropeHigh 0.699.539.09−0.44−4.6▼ 114 · 1d37%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.9 · Inception
MoroccoAfricaHigh 0.729.368.92−0.44−4.6▼ 110 · 3d40%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 1.2 · Inception
AndorraEuropeHigh 0.675.154.71−0.44−8.601115%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
BhutanSouth AsiaHigh 0.613.933.49−0.44−11.2▼ 19 · 1d14%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
Trinidad & TobagoLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.656.696.27−0.43−6.407 · 1d32%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
HondurasLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.565.054.62−0.43−8.5▼ 110 · 4d21%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
Cabo VerdeAfricaMedium 0.594.724.29−0.43−9.1013 · 1d14%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
KiribatiIndo-PacificHigh 0.602.201.78−0.43−19.4▲ 188%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
TaiwanIndo-PacificHigh 0.9214.0313.62−0.42−3.0014 · 4d56%Resource Infrastructure 9.4 · Transitional
LuxembourgEuropeHigh 0.6610.7910.37−0.42−3.9▼ 18 · 2d37%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.6 · Inception
IcelandEuropeHigh 0.649.639.22−0.42−4.3▲ 115 · 1d35%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.1 · Inception
MonacoEuropeMedium 0.585.915.50−0.42−7.1▲ 211 · 1d19%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
Côte d'IvoireAfricaMedium 0.575.425.00−0.42−7.7▲ 113 · 1d24%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
KyrgyzstanRussia and EurasiaMedium 0.554.774.35−0.42−8.8▲ 111 · 1d18%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
IraqGulf and Middle EastMedium 0.554.694.28−0.42−8.9▲ 11023%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
VenezuelaLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.534.554.14−0.42−9.2▲ 214 · 1d21%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
PolandEuropeHigh 0.7912.3911.99−0.41−3.3▼ 111 · 1d49%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 5 · Nascent
RomaniaEuropeHigh 0.7010.169.75−0.41−4.109 · 1d41%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 2.6 · Inception
IndonesiaIndo-PacificHigh 0.749.979.56−0.41−4.101445%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 2.1 · Inception
KuwaitGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.627.517.10−0.41−5.5▼ 114 · 1d34%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
UzbekistanRussia and EurasiaMedium 0.595.925.51−0.41−7.0▲ 214 · 3d29%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
BeninAfricaMedium 0.534.093.68−0.41−10.0▲ 17 · 1d15%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
TogoAfricaMedium 0.554.053.65−0.41−10.10616%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
MalawiAfricaMedium 0.523.763.35−0.41−10.9▲ 111 · 2d14%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
SamoaIndo-PacificMedium 0.573.483.07−0.41−11.7▲ 114 · 2d12%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
BurundiAfricaMedium 0.552.482.07−0.41−16.5012 · 2d8%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
MicronesiaIndo-PacificMedium 0.572.331.91−0.41−17.7▼ 278%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
PanamaLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.577.176.78−0.40−5.5▲ 15 · 1d29%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Saint Kitts & NevisLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.553.833.43−0.40−10.4▲ 210 · 2d12%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
TurkmenistanRussia and EurasiaMedium 0.573.553.15−0.40−11.2▲ 49 · 4d21%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
PalauIndo-PacificMedium 0.562.842.44−0.40−14.1▲ 27 · 1d10%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
HaitiLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.532.031.62−0.40−19.9057%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
Central African Rep.AfricaMedium 0.541.661.26−0.40−24.1▼ 146%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
OmanGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.648.037.63−0.39−4.9017 · 1d39%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
El SalvadorLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.515.685.29−0.39−6.8▲ 115 · 1d22%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Antigua & BarbudaLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.544.363.97−0.39−9.0▲ 2912%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
DenmarkEuropeHigh 0.7713.9413.56−0.38−2.8012 · 1d51%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 4 · Nascent
PortugalEuropeHigh 0.6511.6811.30−0.38−3.2012 · 3d43%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 3.7 · Nascent
South AfricaAfricaHigh 0.6610.7710.39−0.38−3.6▲ 11043%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 3.2 · Nascent
GeorgiaRussia and EurasiaMedium 0.537.557.17−0.38−5.001329%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Dominican RepublicLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.536.826.44−0.38−5.5▲ 111 · 1d29%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
BangladeshSouth AsiaMedium 0.546.736.35−0.38−5.6▲ 11231%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.1 · Inception
NigerAfricaMedium 0.493.072.69−0.38−12.4▲ 312 · 2d14%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
TuvaluIndo-PacificMedium 0.572.121.73−0.38−18.2027%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
SwitzerlandEuropeHigh 0.7914.7314.36−0.37−2.501054%Resource Infrastructure 5.9 · Nascent
AustriaEuropeHigh 0.7412.8112.43−0.37−2.9014 · 2d50%Resource Infrastructure 8.7 · Foundational
GreeceEuropeHigh 0.6110.6110.24−0.37−3.501040%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 2.6 · Inception
EcuadorLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.536.766.39−0.37−5.5▲ 11430%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Guinea-BissauAfricaMedium 0.502.071.70−0.37−18.008 · 1d7%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
Holy SeeEuropeHigh 1.001.851.48−0.37−19.8▲ 13 · 1d2%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
BelgiumEuropeHigh 0.7213.4613.10−0.36−2.7015 · 2d50%Resource Infrastructure 8.7 · Foundational
PeruLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.578.618.24−0.36−4.2▼ 115 · 1d38%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.1 · Inception
KazakhstanRussia and EurasiaMedium 0.578.147.78−0.36−4.4017 · 2d38%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
MaldivesSouth AsiaMedium 0.484.624.26−0.36−7.8▲ 21115%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
GrenadaLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.514.043.68−0.36−9.0▲ 2714%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
VanuatuIndo-PacificMedium 0.492.932.56−0.36−12.3▲ 31010%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
South KoreaIndo-PacificHigh 0.8216.0015.66−0.35−2.20759%Resource Infrastructure 11.2 · Transitional
NorwayEuropeHigh 0.8214.6214.27−0.35−2.4▼ 111 · 1d58%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 4.8 · Nascent
United Arab EmiratesGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.6911.9411.59−0.35−2.9▲ 11951%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 2.5 · Inception
QatarGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.619.399.04−0.35−3.70943%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.1 · Inception
KenyaAfricaMedium 0.487.186.83−0.35−4.9▲ 1827%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
MoldovaRussia and EurasiaMedium 0.466.345.99−0.35−5.5▲ 214 · 3d24%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
CubaLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.465.955.60−0.35−5.9▲ 3825%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
BoliviaLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.475.114.76−0.35−6.8▲ 2823%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
SingaporeIndo-PacificHigh 0.7715.2014.86−0.34−2.209 · 4d56%Resource Infrastructure 8.2 · Foundational
JordanGulf and Middle EastMedium 0.487.507.16−0.34−4.5▲ 1629%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Sri LankaSouth AsiaMedium 0.467.256.91−0.34−4.7▲ 114 · 1d27%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.3 · Inception
JamaicaLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.466.245.90−0.34−5.5▲ 115 · 2d24%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
ComorosAfricaMedium 0.452.291.95−0.34−14.805 · 1d7%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
SwedenEuropeHigh 0.7315.3014.97−0.33−2.10956%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 8.9 · Foundational
ChileLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.5810.6110.28−0.33−3.1▲ 27 · 1d43%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.8 · Inception
BelizeLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.464.033.70−0.33−8.2▲ 66 · 1d13%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
Saint LuciaLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.463.853.52−0.33−8.6▲ 611 · 1d12%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
Saint Vincent & GrenadinesLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.463.763.43−0.33−8.8▲ 46 · 2d12%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
MexicoLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.6110.8510.53−0.32−2.9012 · 1d49%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 4.1 · Nascent
Costa RicaLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.457.767.45−0.32−4.109 · 2d30%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 1.4 · Inception
NetherlandsEuropeHigh 0.7215.5015.19−0.31−2.004 · 1d58%Resource Infrastructure 12.5 · Established
FinlandEuropeHigh 0.6614.5214.21−0.31−2.1▼ 11154%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 7.6 · Foundational
ItalyEuropeHigh 0.6213.7213.42−0.31−2.2011 · 1d52%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 10.4 · Transitional
GuatemalaLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.415.675.36−0.31−5.5▲ 79 · 1d24%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
DominicaLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.433.873.56−0.31−8.1▲ 7712%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
São Tomé & PríncipeAfricaMedium 0.432.852.54−0.31−11.0▲ 513 · 1d9%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
SpainEuropeHigh 0.6113.7813.48−0.30−2.20750%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 6.6 · Foundational
New ZealandIndo-PacificMedium 0.5612.8312.53−0.30−2.401146%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 1.8 · Inception
LebanonGulf and Middle EastMedium 0.364.664.36−0.30−6.4▲ 61015%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
YemenGulf and Middle EastMedium 0.381.621.33−0.30−18.2▲ 167%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
United KingdomEuropeHigh 0.6616.4516.17−0.29−1.70657%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 13.2 · Established
AustraliaIndo-PacificHigh 0.6514.9514.66−0.29−1.908 · 1d56%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 5.3 · Nascent
UkraineRussia and EurasiaMedium 0.459.409.11−0.29−3.1▲ 1936%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 2.6 · Inception
IranGulf and Middle EastMedium 0.468.177.88−0.29−3.60838%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 3.1 · Nascent
BahamasLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.405.164.88−0.29−5.5▲ 1716%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
GermanyEuropeHigh 0.7216.3616.08−0.28−1.70862%Resource Infrastructure 13.1 · Established
JapanIndo-PacificHigh 0.6716.2615.99−0.27−1.60861%Resource Infrastructure 11.4 · Transitional
PalestineGulf and Middle EastLow 0.323.723.45−0.27−7.3▲ 73 · 1d13%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
RussiaRussia and EurasiaMedium 0.5212.3012.04−0.26−2.1▲ 1451%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 7.4 · Foundational
Saudi ArabiaGulf and Middle EastMedium 0.5111.1910.93−0.26−2.3012 · 2d50%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 2.6 · Inception
ArgentinaLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.429.258.99−0.26−2.8▲ 19 · 1d39%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 1.7 · Inception
ColombiaLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.419.118.86−0.26−2.8015 · 1d38%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.2 · Inception
EgyptGulf and Middle EastMedium 0.428.988.72−0.26−2.909 · 1d39%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 1.7 · Inception
UruguayLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.378.548.28−0.26−3.0▲ 110 · 2d31%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
PakistanSouth AsiaMedium 0.377.967.70−0.26−3.3▲ 21131%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 1.4 · Inception
BarbadosLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.365.565.29−0.26−4.7▲ 54 · 1d18%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
NepalSouth AsiaLow 0.334.964.70−0.26−5.3▲ 2518%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
FranceEuropeMedium 0.5816.6416.39−0.25−1.50258%Resource Infrastructure 12.1 · Established
AfghanistanSouth AsiaLow 0.341.461.22−0.25−16.9▲ 166%Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 0 · Inception
IndiaSouth AsiaMedium 0.4612.6112.37−0.24−1.9012 · 1d48%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 8.3 · Foundational
CanadaNorth AmericaMedium 0.5215.0614.84−0.22−1.508 · 2d59%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 9.5 · Transitional
TürkiyeGulf and Middle EastMedium 0.4012.1811.97−0.21−1.7011 · 1d47%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 5.4 · Nascent
BrazilLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.3811.6911.49−0.20−1.709 · 2d49%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 4.7 · Nascent
SyriaGulf and Middle EastLow 0.192.222.06−0.17−7.5▲ 439%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
ChinaChinaMedium 0.4315.6415.48−0.16−1.10663%Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls 12.8 · Established
IsraelGulf and Middle EastLow 0.2614.4614.32−0.13−0.9▲ 27 · 1d50%Resource Infrastructure 10.3 · Transitional
United StatesNorth AmericaLow 0.3218.0317.92−0.11−0.603 · 1d67%Health System Capability 15.5 · Advanced

Settings of this run

Load
10 capability groups singled out, 56 loaded in all, of 73. A band on the capability scale is three points wide, so a High load moves a fully exposed, unprotected capability down one band. A capability group that the scenario does not single out takes its domain's load one level lower.
Singled out
Advanced Materials & ManufacturingHighSemiconductors & Advanced ComputingHighBiotechnology & Health TechnologiesHighResource InfrastructureMediumAgriculture & Food InfrastructureMediumAdvanced ManufacturingLowHealth System CapabilityMediumRegulatory Governance & Strategic ControlsHighIndustrial & Sectoral BaseHighGlobal Value Chain PositionHigh
Buffers
Advanced ManufacturingResource InfrastructureNational Resilience & Crisis ManagementStructural Transformation & ComplexityEconomic Leverage & Dependence

Absorption is the nation's mean score on the scenario's buffer capabilities as a share of the top of the scale, times 0.75: a nation at the frontier on every buffer absorbs three quarters of the shock.

Exposure
regional exposure (40%); industry as a share of gdp (ranked) (35%); trade in goods and services relative to gdp (ranked) (25%). Exposure is set nation by nation: a weighted blend of indicators from the 2025 World Factbook and the scenario's regional exposure. Where a nation does not report an indicator, its weight passes to the others.
Likelihood
54 per cent over three years and 40 per cent over ten, as used in the vulnerability index.
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