DRAFT · Updated 2 October 2026

Governance

Who reviews the Scenario Library and each Edition, how a rating can be challenged and what is disclosed.

Review committee

A review committee adopts the final ratings for each Edition and approves changes to the Library. Its terms of reference cover:

Membership and the full terms of reference will be published here before the 2027 release.

The panel

The Edition is rated by a panel of 40 to 60 named experts, drawn across the nine regions and the four stakeholder groups. Panellists will be named on this page after the 2027 round, with their region and stakeholder tags and their declared interests. The method is set out on the methodology page.

Until the panel has rated, every score on this site is a provisional GINC desk score and is labelled as such.

Challenge process

A government or a scholar may dispute a rating.

  1. The challenge is submitted in writing, naming the scenario, the rating disputed and the evidence relied on.
  2. GINC responds within 60 days.
  3. The outcome is published, whether or not the rating changes. A change is recorded in the scenario’s change log and in the public change log.

Disclosure policy

Edition pages are frozen at release. Corrections are published as errata, not silent edits.

Funders

Funders will be listed here before the 2027 release.

Affiliation

GINC is the Global Institute for National Capability. Its association with Oxford is through a fellowship. That is not an endorsement of this work by the University.

Licence

Content and data are published under CC BY 4.0. Code is published under the MIT licence.