Scenarios 2027 / Results / S09

Load test · S09 · Standard Severe · 197 nations

Energy supply shock

C Energy, climate and resourcesScenario record

How far each nation’s capability index falls when this scenario’s load is applied to its capability scores, after its own buffers absorb what they can.

Read with care Second illustrative run, with exposure set nation by nation. The capability scores are candidate ratings and the test settings are GINC desk settings; neither has been adopted. Scores are from the GINC National Capability Index 2026, which describes them as candidate ratings. Exposure is set nation by nation from the CIA World Factbook 2025 and the scenario's regional exposure. Results show the method working on real scores; they are not findings about any nation. How the tests work.

Typical nation−0.72median change in index, points
Hardest hit−1.06Burkina Faso
Lose a domain band134of 197 nations
Worth of best practice+0.27mean points recovered over current plans

Change in index, by region

One dot per nation. The bar marks each region’s mean. Further left is a larger fall.

−1−0.8−0.6−0.4−0.20Change in capability index, pointsNorth America 2United States: −0.05Canada: −0.08North America mean: −0.07United StatesCanadaEurope 42France: −0.48United Kingdom: −0.30Germany: −0.49Netherlands: −0.48Sweden: −0.54Switzerland: −0.63Norway: −0.22Finland: −0.56Denmark: −0.41Spain: −0.58Italy: −0.60Belgium: −0.62Austria: −0.63Poland: −0.63Ireland: −0.74Portugal: −0.71Czechia: −0.70Estonia: −0.48Luxembourg: −0.79Lithuania: −0.75Greece: −0.73Hungary: −0.64Slovenia: −0.77Romania: −0.48Slovakia: −0.73Latvia: −0.80Iceland: −0.78Croatia: −0.69Serbia: −0.75Bulgaria: −0.76Malta: −0.85Cyprus: −0.86Liechtenstein: −0.90North Macedonia: −0.92Montenegro: −0.91Albania: −0.54Monaco: −0.75Bosnia & Herzegovina: −0.95Andorra: −0.75San Marino: −0.94Kosovo: −1.01Holy See: −0.63Europe mean: −0.68China 1China: −0.29China mean: −0.29Indo-Pacific 30Japan: −0.49South Korea: −0.53Singapore: −0.65Australia: −0.20Taiwan: −0.67New Zealand: −0.49Malaysia: −0.28Thailand: −0.58Indonesia: −0.36Vietnam: −0.51Philippines: −0.69Mongolia: −0.74Brunei: −0.39Fiji: −0.95Cambodia: −1.05North Korea: −0.97Myanmar: −0.42Papua New Guinea: −0.40Laos: −1.03Samoa: −0.95Tonga: −0.97Timor-Leste: −0.38Vanuatu: −0.97Solomon Islands: −1.00Palau: −0.82Marshall Islands: −0.83Micronesia: −0.95Kiribati: −0.94Tuvalu: −0.78Nauru: −0.99Indo-Pacific mean: −0.70CambodiaSouth Asia 8India: −0.50Pakistan: −0.64Sri Lanka: −0.93Bangladesh: −0.76Nepal: −0.95Maldives: −0.95Bhutan: −1.00Afghanistan: −0.90South Asia mean: −0.83Gulf and Middle East 16Israel: −0.19Türkiye: −0.51United Arab Emirates: −0.13Saudi Arabia: −0.13Qatar: −0.15Egypt: −0.21Iran: −0.15Oman: −0.16Kuwait: −0.17Jordan: −0.68Bahrain: −0.17Iraq: −0.19Lebanon: −0.78Palestine: −0.80Syria: −0.28Yemen: −0.68Gulf and Middle East mean: −0.34Africa 53South Africa: −0.66Morocco: −0.76Mauritius: −0.88Tunisia: −0.71Nigeria: −0.34Kenya: −0.89Ghana: −0.34Algeria: −0.34Senegal: −0.85Botswana: −0.94Namibia: −0.94Rwanda: −0.94Tanzania: −0.74Ethiopia: −0.98Uganda: −0.98Côte d'Ivoire: −0.60Seychelles: −0.93Zambia: −0.99Cabo Verde: −0.94Angola: −0.39Cameroon: −0.38Zimbabwe: −1.02Mozambique: −0.36Benin: −1.00Togo: −1.00Gabon: −0.41Madagascar: −1.01Malawi: −1.00Eswatini: −1.04Sierra Leone: −1.04Mauritania: −1.02Burkina Faso: −1.06Lesotho: −1.04Mali: −1.02Gambia: −1.01Djibouti: −1.03Congo: −0.42Guinea: −1.03Niger: −0.53Libya: −0.44Liberia: −1.04DR Congo: −0.73São Tomé & Príncipe: −0.97Equatorial Guinea: −0.43Sudan: −0.70Burundi: −0.99Comoros: −0.97Chad: −0.42Guinea-Bissau: −1.00Eritrea: −1.01Central African Rep.: −0.98Somalia: −0.98South Sudan: −0.44Africa mean: −0.80EswatiniBurkina FasoLatin America and Caribbean 33Brazil: −0.14Mexico: −0.23Chile: −0.59Argentina: −0.18Colombia: −0.19Peru: −0.30Uruguay: −0.71Costa Rica: −0.76Panama: −0.79Dominican Republic: −0.82Ecuador: −0.23Trinidad & Tobago: −0.24Jamaica: −0.76Cuba: −0.52Paraguay: −0.84El Salvador: −0.83Guatemala: −0.79Barbados: −0.65Bahamas: −0.81Bolivia: −0.23Honduras: −0.88Venezuela: −0.21Guyana: −0.29Nicaragua: −0.87Antigua & Barbuda: −0.84Grenada: −0.84Suriname: −0.40Belize: −0.75Dominica: −0.83Saint Lucia: −0.83Saint Kitts & Nevis: −0.87Saint Vincent & Grenadines: −0.84Haiti: −0.95Latin America and Caribbean mean: −0.61Russia and Eurasia 12Russia: −0.10Ukraine: −0.42Kazakhstan: −0.14Georgia: −0.67Belarus: −0.61Azerbaijan: −0.16Armenia: −0.71Moldova: −0.72Uzbekistan: −0.31Kyrgyzstan: −0.68Tajikistan: −0.80Turkmenistan: −0.19Russia and Eurasia mean: −0.46Russia
Lowest: Burkina Faso, Cambodia, Eswatini. Highest: Russia, Canada, United States.

Does capability protect?

Each nation’s baseline index against its fall. Stronger nations absorb more of the shock, so they sit higher; so do nations with low exposure.

02.557.51012.51517.5−1−0.8−0.6−0.4−0.20Baseline capability index (0 to 20)Change in index (points)United States (North America): baseline capability index 18.03, change in index −0.05France (Europe): baseline capability index 16.64, change in index −0.48United Kingdom (Europe): baseline capability index 16.45, change in index −0.30Germany (Europe): baseline capability index 16.36, change in index −0.49Japan (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 16.26, change in index −0.49South Korea (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 16, change in index −0.53China (China): baseline capability index 15.64, change in index −0.29Netherlands (Europe): baseline capability index 15.5, change in index −0.48Sweden (Europe): baseline capability index 15.3, change in index −0.54Singapore (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 15.2, change in index −0.65Canada (North America): baseline capability index 15.06, change in index −0.08Australia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 14.95, change in index −0.20Switzerland (Europe): baseline capability index 14.73, change in index −0.63Norway (Europe): baseline capability index 14.62, change in index −0.22Finland (Europe): baseline capability index 14.52, change in index −0.56Israel (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 14.46, change in index −0.19Taiwan (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 14.03, change in index −0.67Denmark (Europe): baseline capability index 13.94, change in index −0.41Spain (Europe): baseline capability index 13.78, change in index −0.58Italy (Europe): baseline capability index 13.72, change in index −0.60Belgium (Europe): baseline capability index 13.46, change in index −0.62New Zealand (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 12.83, change in index −0.49Austria (Europe): baseline capability index 12.81, change in index −0.63India (South Asia): baseline capability index 12.61, change in index −0.50Poland (Europe): baseline capability index 12.39, change in index −0.63Russia (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 12.3, change in index −0.10Türkiye (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 12.18, change in index −0.51Ireland (Europe): baseline capability index 12.08, change in index −0.74United Arab Emirates (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 11.94, change in index −0.13Brazil (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 11.69, change in index −0.14Portugal (Europe): baseline capability index 11.68, change in index −0.71Czechia (Europe): baseline capability index 11.51, change in index −0.70Estonia (Europe): baseline capability index 11.49, change in index −0.48Malaysia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 11.48, change in index −0.28Saudi Arabia (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 11.19, change in index −0.13Mexico (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 10.85, change in index −0.23Luxembourg (Europe): baseline capability index 10.79, change in index −0.79South Africa (Africa): baseline capability index 10.77, change in index −0.66Lithuania (Europe): baseline capability index 10.75, change in index −0.75Thailand (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 10.7, change in index −0.58Chile (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 10.61, change in index −0.59Greece (Europe): baseline capability index 10.61, change in index −0.73Hungary (Europe): baseline capability index 10.51, change in index −0.64Slovenia (Europe): baseline capability index 10.48, change in index −0.77Romania (Europe): baseline capability index 10.16, change in index −0.48Slovakia (Europe): baseline capability index 10.1, change in index −0.73Indonesia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 9.97, change in index −0.36Latvia (Europe): baseline capability index 9.89, change in index −0.80Vietnam (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 9.68, change in index −0.51Iceland (Europe): baseline capability index 9.63, change in index −0.78Croatia (Europe): baseline capability index 9.53, change in index −0.69Ukraine (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 9.4, change in index −0.42Qatar (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 9.39, change in index −0.15Morocco (Africa): baseline capability index 9.36, change in index −0.76Argentina (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 9.25, change in index −0.18Colombia (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 9.11, change in index −0.19Egypt (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 8.98, change in index −0.21Serbia (Europe): baseline capability index 8.97, change in index −0.75Bulgaria (Europe): baseline capability index 8.95, change in index −0.76Malta (Europe): baseline capability index 8.89, change in index −0.85Philippines (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 8.83, change in index −0.69Peru (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 8.61, change in index −0.30Uruguay (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 8.54, change in index −0.71Cyprus (Europe): baseline capability index 8.51, change in index −0.86Iran (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 8.17, change in index −0.15Kazakhstan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 8.14, change in index −0.14Mauritius (Africa): baseline capability index 8.08, change in index −0.88Oman (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 8.03, change in index −0.16Pakistan (South Asia): baseline capability index 7.96, change in index −0.64Costa Rica (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 7.76, change in index −0.76Tunisia (Africa): baseline capability index 7.71, change in index −0.71Georgia (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 7.55, change in index −0.67Kuwait (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 7.51, change in index −0.17Jordan (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 7.5, change in index −0.68Nigeria (Africa): baseline capability index 7.43, change in index −0.34Bahrain (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 7.32, change in index −0.17Sri Lanka (South Asia): baseline capability index 7.25, change in index −0.93Liechtenstein (Europe): baseline capability index 7.22, change in index −0.90Kenya (Africa): baseline capability index 7.18, change in index −0.89Panama (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 7.17, change in index −0.79Ghana (Africa): baseline capability index 6.98, change in index −0.34Algeria (Africa): baseline capability index 6.96, change in index −0.34Belarus (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 6.9, change in index −0.61Dominican Republic (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 6.82, change in index −0.82Azerbaijan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 6.79, change in index −0.16Ecuador (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 6.76, change in index −0.23Bangladesh (South Asia): baseline capability index 6.73, change in index −0.76Trinidad & Tobago (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 6.69, change in index −0.24Armenia (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 6.65, change in index −0.71North Macedonia (Europe): baseline capability index 6.61, change in index −0.92Senegal (Africa): baseline capability index 6.42, change in index −0.85Montenegro (Europe): baseline capability index 6.35, change in index −0.91Moldova (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 6.34, change in index −0.72Jamaica (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 6.24, change in index −0.76Albania (Europe): baseline capability index 6.13, change in index −0.54Botswana (Africa): baseline capability index 6.08, change in index −0.94Namibia (Africa): baseline capability index 5.95, change in index −0.94Cuba (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.95, change in index −0.52Rwanda (Africa): baseline capability index 5.95, change in index −0.94Uzbekistan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 5.92, change in index −0.31Monaco (Europe): baseline capability index 5.91, change in index −0.75Tanzania (Africa): baseline capability index 5.82, change in index −0.74Bosnia & Herzegovina (Europe): baseline capability index 5.8, change in index −0.95Paraguay (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.79, change in index −0.84Mongolia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 5.73, change in index −0.74Ethiopia (Africa): baseline capability index 5.7, change in index −0.98El Salvador (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.68, change in index −0.83Guatemala (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.67, change in index −0.79Brunei (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 5.6, change in index −0.39Barbados (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.56, change in index −0.65Uganda (Africa): baseline capability index 5.53, change in index −0.98Côte d'Ivoire (Africa): baseline capability index 5.42, change in index −0.60Seychelles (Africa): baseline capability index 5.27, change in index −0.93Bahamas (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.16, change in index −0.81Fiji (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 5.16, change in index −0.95Andorra (Europe): baseline capability index 5.15, change in index −0.75Bolivia (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.11, change in index −0.23Honduras (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.05, change in index −0.88San Marino (Europe): baseline capability index 5.03, change in index −0.94Nepal (South Asia): baseline capability index 4.96, change in index −0.95Zambia (Africa): baseline capability index 4.93, change in index −0.99Cambodia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 4.93, change in index −1.05Kyrgyzstan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 4.77, change in index −0.68Cabo Verde (Africa): baseline capability index 4.72, change in index −0.94Kosovo (Europe): baseline capability index 4.7, change in index −1.01Iraq (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 4.69, change in index −0.19Lebanon (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 4.66, change in index −0.78Maldives (South Asia): baseline capability index 4.62, change in index −0.95Angola (Africa): baseline capability index 4.6, change in index −0.39Venezuela (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.55, change in index −0.21Guyana (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.53, change in index −0.29Cameroon (Africa): baseline capability index 4.39, change in index −0.38Nicaragua (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.37, change in index −0.87Antigua & Barbuda (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.36, change in index −0.84Zimbabwe (Africa): baseline capability index 4.34, change in index −1.02North Korea (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 4.26, change in index −0.97Mozambique (Africa): baseline capability index 4.12, change in index −0.36Benin (Africa): baseline capability index 4.09, change in index −1.00Togo (Africa): baseline capability index 4.05, change in index −1.00Grenada (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.04, change in index −0.84Suriname (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.04, change in index −0.40Belize (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.03, change in index −0.75Tajikistan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 4.01, change in index −0.80Gabon (Africa): baseline capability index 3.94, change in index −0.41Bhutan (South Asia): baseline capability index 3.93, change in index −1.00Madagascar (Africa): baseline capability index 3.9, change in index −1.01Myanmar (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 3.89, change in index −0.42Dominica (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 3.87, change in index −0.83Saint Lucia (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 3.85, change in index −0.83Saint Kitts & Nevis (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 3.83, change in index −0.87Papua New Guinea (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 3.8, change in index −0.40Malawi (Africa): baseline capability index 3.76, change in index −1.00Saint Vincent & Grenadines (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 3.76, change in index −0.84Palestine (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 3.72, change in index −0.80Eswatini (Africa): baseline capability index 3.71, change in index −1.04Laos (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 3.7, change in index −1.03Sierra Leone (Africa): baseline capability index 3.59, change in index −1.04Mauritania (Africa): baseline capability index 3.58, change in index −1.02Turkmenistan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 3.55, change in index −0.19Samoa (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 3.48, change in index −0.95Burkina Faso (Africa): baseline capability index 3.47, change in index −1.06Lesotho (Africa): baseline capability index 3.43, change in index −1.04Mali (Africa): baseline capability index 3.41, change in index −1.02Gambia (Africa): baseline capability index 3.32, change in index −1.01Tonga (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 3.21, change in index −0.97Djibouti (Africa): baseline capability index 3.2, change in index −1.03Congo (Africa): baseline capability index 3.19, change in index −0.42Guinea (Africa): baseline capability index 3.15, change in index −1.03Niger (Africa): baseline capability index 3.07, change in index −0.53Libya (Africa): baseline capability index 3.01, change in index −0.44Timor-Leste (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.98, change in index −0.38Liberia (Africa): baseline capability index 2.93, change in index −1.04Vanuatu (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.93, change in index −0.97Solomon Islands (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.91, change in index −1.00DR Congo (Africa): baseline capability index 2.87, change in index −0.73São Tomé & Príncipe (Africa): baseline capability index 2.85, change in index −0.97Palau (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.84, change in index −0.82Equatorial Guinea (Africa): baseline capability index 2.8, change in index −0.43Sudan (Africa): baseline capability index 2.61, change in index −0.70Burundi (Africa): baseline capability index 2.48, change in index −0.99Marshall Islands (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.48, change in index −0.83Micronesia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.33, change in index −0.95Comoros (Africa): baseline capability index 2.29, change in index −0.97Chad (Africa): baseline capability index 2.26, change in index −0.42Syria (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 2.22, change in index −0.28Kiribati (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.2, change in index −0.94Tuvalu (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.12, change in index −0.78Guinea-Bissau (Africa): baseline capability index 2.07, change in index −1.00Haiti (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 2.03, change in index −0.95Eritrea (Africa): baseline capability index 2.01, change in index −1.01Nauru (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 1.96, change in index −0.99Holy See (Europe): baseline capability index 1.85, change in index −0.63Central African Rep. (Africa): baseline capability index 1.66, change in index −0.98Yemen (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 1.62, change in index −0.68Somalia (Africa): baseline capability index 1.62, change in index −0.98Afghanistan (South Asia): baseline capability index 1.46, change in index −0.90South Sudan (Africa): baseline capability index 1.38, change in index −0.44United StatesCanadaRussiaCambodiaEswatiniBurkina Faso
North AmericaEuropeChinaIndo-PacificSouth AsiaGulf and Middle EastAfricaLatin America and CaribbeanRussia and Eurasia

Where the load lands

Mean change in each capability domain across all nations.

Financial Strength−1.05
Production & Innovation−0.99
Strategic Infrastructure−0.91
Governance & Integrity−0.89
Trade & Investment−0.89
Human Capital−0.40
Information & Influence−0.40
National Security−0.32
Critical Technology−0.10

What policy is worth

The 20 hardest-hit nations under three policy responses. The distance from circle to square is what current buffers absorb; from square to diamond is what best practice would add.

−1.2−1.0−0.8−0.6−0.4−0.20.0Change in capability index, pointsBurkina FasoBurkina Faso, no response: −1.22Burkina Faso, current plans: −1.06Burkina Faso, best practice: −0.54CambodiaCambodia, no response: −1.26Cambodia, current plans: −1.05Cambodia, best practice: −0.56EswatiniEswatini, no response: −1.21Eswatini, current plans: −1.04Eswatini, best practice: −0.54Sierra LeoneSierra Leone, no response: −1.21Sierra Leone, current plans: −1.04Sierra Leone, best practice: −0.53LesothoLesotho, no response: −1.19Lesotho, current plans: −1.04Lesotho, best practice: −0.53LiberiaLiberia, no response: −1.17Liberia, current plans: −1.04Liberia, best practice: −0.52LaosLaos, no response: −1.22Laos, current plans: −1.03Laos, best practice: −0.54DjiboutiDjibouti, no response: −1.14Djibouti, current plans: −1.03Djibouti, best practice: −0.51GuineaGuinea, no response: −1.20Guinea, current plans: −1.03Guinea, best practice: −0.53ZimbabweZimbabwe, no response: −1.22Zimbabwe, current plans: −1.02Zimbabwe, best practice: −0.54MauritaniaMauritania, no response: −1.23Mauritania, current plans: −1.02Mauritania, best practice: −0.55MaliMali, no response: −1.18Mali, current plans: −1.02Mali, best practice: −0.52KosovoKosovo, no response: −1.21Kosovo, current plans: −1.01Kosovo, best practice: −0.54MadagascarMadagascar, no response: −1.19Madagascar, current plans: −1.01Madagascar, best practice: −0.52GambiaGambia, no response: −1.12Gambia, current plans: −1.01Gambia, best practice: −0.51EritreaEritrea, no response: −1.06Eritrea, current plans: −1.01Eritrea, best practice: −0.55BeninBenin, no response: −1.17Benin, current plans: −1.00Benin, best practice: −0.52TogoTogo, no response: −1.18Togo, current plans: −1.00Togo, best practice: −0.52BhutanBhutan, no response: −1.18Bhutan, current plans: −1.00Bhutan, best practice: −0.53MalawiMalawi, no response: −1.15Malawi, current plans: −1.00Malawi, best practice: −0.51
No responseCurrent plansBest practice
Run three times: no response (absorption zero), current plans (the nation's own buffers) and best practice (buffers lifted to Advanced where they are lower).

All 197 nations

Rank shift is the change in the nation’s place among all nations once every index is stressed: up means it held up better than its neighbours. The weakest point is the capability left lowest among those the scenario singles out.

Weakest point
Burkina FasoAfricaHigh 0.973.472.41−1.06−30.5▼ 422 · 3d13%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
CambodiaIndo-PacificHigh 0.994.933.88−1.05−21.2▼ 724 · 2d17%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
EswatiniAfricaHigh 0.983.712.67−1.04−28.1▼ 320 · 1d14%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
Sierra LeoneAfricaHigh 0.963.592.56−1.04−28.9▼ 524 · 5d14%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
LesothoAfricaHigh 0.973.432.38−1.04−30.4▼ 524 · 3d13%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
LiberiaAfricaHigh 0.952.931.89−1.04−35.5▼ 726 · 5d11%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
LaosIndo-PacificHigh 0.973.702.67−1.03−27.9▼ 125 · 3d15%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
DjiboutiAfricaHigh 0.923.202.18−1.03−32.1▼ 525 · 4d11%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
GuineaAfricaHigh 0.963.152.11−1.03−32.8▼ 528 · 6d14%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
ZimbabweAfricaHigh 0.964.343.31−1.02−23.6▼ 619 · 3d17%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
MauritaniaAfricaHigh 0.973.582.56−1.02−28.5▼ 327 · 3d17%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
MaliAfricaHigh 0.943.412.39−1.02−30.0▼ 328 · 5d13%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
KosovoEuropeHigh 0.964.703.69−1.01−21.5▼ 72317%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
MadagascarAfricaHigh 0.943.902.89−1.01−25.9▼ 822 · 2d15%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
GambiaAfricaHigh 0.923.322.31−1.01−30.3▼ 523 · 5d11%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
EritreaAfricaHigh 1.002.011.00−1.01−50.3▼ 110 · 1d7%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
BeninAfricaHigh 0.924.093.09−1.00−24.5▼ 825 · 3d14%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
TogoAfricaHigh 0.934.053.05−1.00−24.8▼ 824 · 1d15%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
BhutanSouth AsiaHigh 0.973.932.93−1.00−25.4▼ 621 · 4d16%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
MalawiAfricaHigh 0.923.762.76−1.00−26.6▼ 422 · 5d13%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
Solomon IslandsIndo-PacificHigh 0.932.911.91−1.00−34.4▼ 320 · 3d11%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
Guinea-BissauAfricaHigh 0.922.071.07−1.00−48.4▼ 217 · 1d8%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
ZambiaAfricaHigh 0.994.933.94−0.99−20.1▼ 62621%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
BurundiAfricaHigh 0.912.481.49−0.99−40.0▼ 323 · 3d8%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
NauruIndo-PacificHigh 1.001.960.97−0.99−50.5▼ 114 · 2d8%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
EthiopiaAfricaHigh 0.965.704.71−0.98−17.3▼ 632 · 4d20%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
UgandaAfricaHigh 0.955.534.56−0.98−17.7▼ 229 · 5d20%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
Central African Rep.AfricaHigh 0.931.660.68−0.98−58.9▼ 276%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
SomaliaAfricaHigh 1.001.620.64−0.98−60.6▼ 146%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
North KoreaIndo-PacificHigh 1.004.263.29−0.97−22.8▼ 61917%Monetary & Currency Capability 0 · Inception
TongaIndo-PacificHigh 0.913.212.23−0.97−30.4▼ 522 · 4d12%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
VanuatuIndo-PacificHigh 0.902.931.95−0.97−33.2▼ 224 · 1d11%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
São Tomé & PríncipeAfricaHigh 0.902.851.88−0.97−34.2▼ 425 · 2d10%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
ComorosAfricaHigh 0.912.291.32−0.97−42.4▼ 318 · 3d8%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
Bosnia & HerzegovinaEuropeHigh 0.945.804.84−0.95−16.4▼ 619 · 5d21%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
FijiIndo-PacificHigh 0.925.164.21−0.95−18.4▼ 527 · 1d18%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
NepalSouth AsiaHigh 0.914.964.02−0.95−19.1▼ 519 · 2d18%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
MaldivesSouth AsiaHigh 0.904.623.68−0.95−20.5▼ 52716%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
SamoaIndo-PacificHigh 0.913.482.52−0.95−27.5▼ 422 · 6d13%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
MicronesiaIndo-PacificHigh 0.902.331.38−0.95−40.7▼ 2159%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
HaitiLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.862.031.08−0.95−46.9087%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
BotswanaAfricaHigh 0.976.085.13−0.94−15.5▼ 425 · 5d23%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
NamibiaAfricaHigh 0.975.955.01−0.94−15.8▼ 519 · 3d25%Energy Technologies 0.2 · Inception
RwandaAfricaHigh 0.945.955.01−0.94−15.8▼ 526 · 3d21%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
San MarinoEuropeHigh 0.975.034.09−0.94−18.7▼ 518 · 3d17%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
Cabo VerdeAfricaHigh 0.914.723.78−0.94−20.0▼ 625 · 3d16%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
KiribatiIndo-PacificHigh 0.912.201.27−0.94−42.6▼ 1148%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
Sri LankaSouth AsiaHigh 0.967.256.32−0.93−12.8▼ 626 · 1d25%Energy Technologies 0.6 · Inception
SeychellesAfricaHigh 0.915.274.34−0.93−17.7▼ 526 · 2d18%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
North MacedoniaEuropeHigh 0.946.615.70−0.92−13.9025 · 4d23%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
MontenegroEuropeHigh 0.916.355.44−0.91−14.3▼ 420 · 7d22%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
LiechtensteinEuropeHigh 0.987.226.32−0.90−12.5▼ 627 · 5d22%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
AfghanistanSouth AsiaHigh 0.911.460.56−0.90−61.8▼ 187%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
KenyaAfricaHigh 0.927.186.29−0.89−12.4▼ 72725%Energy Technologies 1.5 · Inception
MauritiusAfricaHigh 0.938.087.20−0.88−10.8▼ 322 · 2d26%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
HondurasLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.845.054.17−0.88−17.4▼ 432 · 5d18%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
NicaraguaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.844.373.50−0.87−20.0▼ 428 · 2d18%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
Saint Kitts & NevisLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.823.832.97−0.87−22.6020 · 5d13%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
CyprusEuropeHigh 0.918.517.65−0.86−10.1▼ 325 · 1d26%Energy Technologies 0.2 · Inception
MaltaEuropeHigh 0.918.898.04−0.85−9.6▼ 221 · 5d27%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
SenegalAfricaHigh 0.876.425.56−0.85−13.3▼ 326 · 1d24%Energy Technologies 0.2 · Inception
ParaguayLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.845.794.95−0.84−14.5▼ 119 · 3d22%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
Antigua & BarbudaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.814.363.51−0.84−19.4▼ 220 · 2d14%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
GrenadaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.804.043.20−0.84−20.8▼ 517 · 3d14%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
Saint Vincent & GrenadinesLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.803.762.92−0.84−22.4▲ 117 · 4d13%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
El SalvadorLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.825.684.84−0.83−14.7▼ 323 · 5d20%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
DominicaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.803.873.04−0.83−21.4019 · 3d14%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
Saint LuciaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.793.853.02−0.83−21.6021 · 4d13%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
Marshall IslandsIndo-PacificHigh 0.772.481.65−0.83−33.4▼ 113 · 1d9%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
Dominican RepublicLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.856.826.00−0.82−12.0▼ 320 · 2d25%Energy Technologies 0.1 · Inception
PalauIndo-PacificHigh 0.772.842.02−0.82−28.8▲ 317 · 2d10%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
BahamasLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.795.164.35−0.81−15.7▼ 21717%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
LatviaEuropeHigh 0.919.899.09−0.80−8.1▼ 229 · 4d32%Energy Technologies 1.3 · Inception
TajikistanRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.774.013.20−0.80−20.1▼ 118 · 2d17%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
PalestineGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.713.722.92−0.80−21.5▲ 113 · 4d11%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
LuxembourgEuropeHigh 0.9010.7910.01−0.79−7.3▼ 318 · 3d32%Resource Infrastructure 0.7 · Inception
PanamaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.847.176.38−0.79−11.1▼ 211 · 3d26%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
GuatemalaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.795.674.88−0.79−13.9018 · 4d22%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
IcelandEuropeHigh 0.939.638.86−0.78−8.1▼ 428 · 3d35%Energy Technologies 2.4 · Inception
LebanonGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.694.663.88−0.78−16.7▼ 123 · 2d13%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
TuvaluIndo-PacificHigh 0.752.121.33−0.78−36.9▲ 268%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
SloveniaEuropeHigh 0.9710.489.71−0.77−7.4017 · 2d38%Energy Technologies 4 · Nascent
MoroccoAfricaHigh 0.949.368.59−0.76−8.2▼ 315 · 3d37%Energy Technologies 4.2 · Nascent
BulgariaEuropeHigh 0.928.958.19−0.76−8.5▼ 116 · 3d36%Energy Technologies 3.4 · Nascent
Costa RicaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.817.767.01−0.76−9.7▼ 323 · 5d27%Energy Technologies 0.6 · Inception
BangladeshSouth AsiaHigh 0.806.735.97−0.76−11.2▼ 12427%Energy Technologies 1.6 · Inception
JamaicaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.786.245.48−0.76−12.2▼ 121 · 3d24%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
LithuaniaEuropeHigh 0.9210.759.99−0.75−7.0▼ 219 · 1d37%Energy Technologies 3 · Nascent
SerbiaEuropeHigh 0.868.978.22−0.75−8.3▼ 124 · 4d33%Energy Technologies 2.3 · Inception
MonacoEuropeHigh 0.785.915.16−0.75−12.7▲ 217 · 2d20%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
AndorraEuropeHigh 0.785.154.41−0.75−14.5▲ 116 · 1d18%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
BelizeLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.704.033.28−0.75−18.5▼ 116 · 1d15%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
IrelandEuropeHigh 0.9212.0811.34−0.74−6.1▼ 221 · 1d38%Energy Technologies 3.1 · Nascent
TanzaniaAfricaHigh 0.765.825.08−0.74−12.8▲ 115 · 3d24%Energy Technologies 0.3 · Inception
MongoliaIndo-PacificHigh 0.765.735.00−0.74−12.9▲ 111 · 3d24%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
GreeceEuropeHigh 0.9110.619.88−0.73−6.9▼ 12337%Energy Technologies 3.7 · Nascent
SlovakiaEuropeHigh 0.9310.109.36−0.73−7.3▼ 124 · 4d39%Energy Technologies 3.9 · Nascent
DR CongoAfricaHigh 0.672.872.14−0.73−25.5▲ 326 · 5d14%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
MoldovaRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.716.345.62−0.72−11.3▲ 216 · 8d21%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
PortugalEuropeHigh 0.9111.6810.97−0.71−6.1▼ 312 · 5d40%Energy Technologies 5 · Nascent
UruguayLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.808.547.84−0.71−8.3▼ 320 · 3d31%Energy Technologies 1.6 · Inception
TunisiaAfricaHigh 0.767.717.00−0.71−9.2▼ 320 · 1d28%Energy Technologies 1.5 · Inception
ArmeniaRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.746.655.94−0.71−10.7015 · 3d25%Energy Technologies 0.7 · Inception
CzechiaEuropeHigh 0.9611.5110.81−0.70−6.1▼ 314 · 4d43%Energy Technologies 6.4 · Foundational
SudanAfricaHigh 0.632.611.91−0.70−26.9▲ 115 · 2d12%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
CroatiaEuropeHigh 0.819.538.84−0.69−7.2▼ 426 · 3d34%Energy Technologies 2.4 · Inception
PhilippinesIndo-PacificHigh 0.808.838.15−0.69−7.8017 · 4d34%Energy Technologies 3.2 · Nascent
JordanGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.747.506.81−0.68−9.1▼ 21828%Energy Technologies 2 · Inception
KyrgyzstanRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.654.774.09−0.68−14.2022 · 1d18%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
YemenGulf and Middle EastMedium 0.591.620.95−0.68−41.6▲ 166%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
TaiwanIndo-PacificHigh 1.0014.0313.36−0.67−4.8▼ 122 · 3d48%Resource Infrastructure 8.4 · Foundational
GeorgiaRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.727.556.88−0.67−8.9▼ 324 · 2d27%Energy Technologies 0.4 · Inception
South AfricaAfricaHigh 0.8910.7710.11−0.66−6.1020 · 1d43%Energy Technologies 7.3 · Foundational
SingaporeIndo-PacificHigh 0.9415.2014.55−0.65−4.3▼ 218 · 3d46%Resource Infrastructure 7.2 · Foundational
BarbadosLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.645.564.91−0.65−11.7▲ 411 · 3d20%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
HungaryEuropeHigh 0.8310.519.87−0.64−6.1027 · 1d40%Energy Technologies 6.5 · Foundational
PakistanSouth AsiaHigh 0.727.967.32−0.64−8.0019 · 2d32%Energy Technologies 4.5 · Nascent
SwitzerlandEuropeHigh 0.9514.7314.11−0.63−4.3▼ 21349%Resource Infrastructure 5 · Nascent
AustriaEuropeHigh 0.9012.8112.17−0.63−4.9▼ 125 · 3d45%Energy Technologies 6.5 · Foundational
PolandEuropeHigh 0.8912.3911.77−0.63−5.1▼ 214 · 1d46%Energy Technologies 7.9 · Foundational
Holy SeeEuropeHigh 1.001.851.21−0.63−34.4▲ 48 · 1d4%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
BelgiumEuropeHigh 0.9213.4612.85−0.62−4.6026 · 3d48%Resource Infrastructure 7.8 · Foundational
BelarusRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.676.906.29−0.61−8.8▼ 224 · 3d30%Energy Technologies 2.4 · Inception
ItalyEuropeHigh 0.8913.7213.13−0.60−4.3018 · 1d49%Energy Technologies 10.2 · Transitional
Côte d'IvoireAfricaMedium 0.605.424.82−0.60−11.0▲ 116 · 2d23%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
ChileLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.8010.6110.02−0.59−5.5▲ 39 · 2d43%Energy Technologies 4.8 · Nascent
SpainEuropeHigh 0.9213.7813.20−0.58−4.201351%Energy Technologies 10.7 · Transitional
ThailandIndo-PacificHigh 0.7510.7010.12−0.58−5.4▲ 316 · 2d40%Energy Technologies 5.3 · Nascent
FinlandEuropeHigh 0.9214.5213.95−0.56−3.9▼ 115 · 2d53%Resource Infrastructure 8.7 · Foundational
SwedenEuropeHigh 0.9315.3014.76−0.54−3.5▼ 11255%Resource Infrastructure 9.5 · Transitional
AlbaniaEuropeMedium 0.546.135.60−0.54−8.7▲ 210 · 4d22%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
South KoreaIndo-PacificHigh 0.9716.0015.47−0.53−3.301058%Resource Infrastructure 10.5 · Transitional
NigerAfricaMedium 0.493.072.54−0.53−17.4▲ 614 · 2d14%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
CubaLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.525.955.43−0.52−8.7▲ 211 · 3d23%Energy Technologies 1.6 · Inception
TürkiyeGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.7212.1811.67−0.51−4.2▼ 116 · 2d45%Energy Technologies 8.8 · Foundational
VietnamIndo-PacificHigh 0.649.689.16−0.51−5.3014 · 2d38%Energy Technologies 5.6 · Nascent
IndiaSouth AsiaHigh 0.7712.6112.12−0.50−4.0▼ 11350%Economic Leverage & Dependence 11.2 · Transitional
GermanyEuropeHigh 0.9216.3615.87−0.49−3.00959%Resource Infrastructure 12.4 · Established
JapanIndo-PacificHigh 0.9616.2615.77−0.49−3.00960%Resource Infrastructure 10.6 · Transitional
New ZealandIndo-PacificHigh 0.6912.8312.34−0.49−3.901744%Energy Technologies 4.7 · Nascent
FranceEuropeHigh 0.9016.6416.16−0.48−2.90859%Resource Infrastructure 11.4 · Transitional
NetherlandsEuropeHigh 0.8215.5015.02−0.48−3.108 · 1d55%Energy Technologies 11.3 · Transitional
EstoniaEuropeMedium 0.5911.4911.01−0.48−4.2012 · 2d37%Energy Technologies 3.7 · Nascent
RomaniaEuropeHigh 0.6210.169.68−0.48−4.801439%Energy Technologies 5.5 · Nascent
LibyaAfricaMedium 0.403.012.57−0.44−14.6▲ 102115%Energy Technologies 0.4 · Inception
South SudanAfricaMedium 0.381.380.93−0.44−32.1▲ 337%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
Equatorial GuineaAfricaMedium 0.392.802.37−0.43−15.3▲ 1019 · 1d15%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
UkraineRussia and EurasiaMedium 0.529.408.98−0.42−4.501037%Energy Technologies 5.4 · Nascent
MyanmarIndo-PacificMedium 0.393.893.47−0.42−10.8▲ 911 · 2d16%Energy Technologies 0.4 · Inception
CongoAfricaMedium 0.393.192.76−0.42−13.3▲ 1214 · 2d15%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
ChadAfricaMedium 0.372.261.84−0.42−18.6▲ 316 · 2d10%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
DenmarkEuropeHigh 0.6013.9413.53−0.41−2.9▲ 114 · 2d47%Energy Technologies 8.4 · Foundational
GabonAfricaMedium 0.403.943.53−0.41−10.5▲ 9519%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
SurinameLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.384.043.64−0.40−9.8▲ 71117%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
Papua New GuineaIndo-PacificMedium 0.393.803.40−0.40−10.6▲ 12718%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
BruneiIndo-PacificMedium 0.405.605.21−0.39−6.9▲ 111225%Energy Technologies 0.3 · Inception
AngolaAfricaMedium 0.394.604.21−0.39−8.6▲ 89 · 1d22%Energy Technologies 0.3 · Inception
CameroonAfricaMedium 0.364.394.01−0.38−8.7▲ 611 · 1d18%Energy Technologies 0.1 · Inception
Timor-LesteIndo-PacificLow 0.352.982.60−0.38−12.9▲ 1210 · 2d12%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
IndonesiaIndo-PacificMedium 0.469.979.61−0.36−3.6▲ 11240%Energy Technologies 6 · Nascent
MozambiqueAfricaMedium 0.354.123.76−0.36−8.8▲ 61120%Energy Technologies 0.6 · Inception
NigeriaAfricaMedium 0.377.437.09−0.34−4.6▲ 31029%Energy Technologies 3.2 · Nascent
GhanaAfricaMedium 0.376.986.64−0.34−4.9▲ 47 · 1d28%Energy Technologies 2.2 · Inception
AlgeriaAfricaMedium 0.396.966.61−0.34−4.9▲ 312 · 1d31%Energy Technologies 2.8 · Inception
UzbekistanRussia and EurasiaLow 0.345.925.61−0.31−5.3▲ 813 · 2d28%Energy Technologies 2.7 · Inception
United KingdomEuropeMedium 0.5816.4516.15−0.30−1.801060%Resource Infrastructure 13.5 · Established
PeruLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.368.618.31−0.30−3.5▲ 41436%Energy Technologies 3.1 · Nascent
ChinaChinaHigh 0.6215.6415.36−0.29−1.80964%Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance 13.6 · Established
GuyanaLatin America and CaribbeanLow 0.284.534.24−0.29−6.4▲ 12819%Energy Technologies 0 · Inception
MalaysiaIndo-PacificMedium 0.3911.4811.20−0.28−2.4▲ 39 · 1d44%Energy Technologies 7 · Foundational
SyriaGulf and Middle EastLow 0.242.221.94−0.28−12.8▲ 989%Energy Technologies 0.3 · Inception
Trinidad & TobagoLatin America and CaribbeanLow 0.266.696.45−0.24−3.6▲ 71329%Energy Technologies 1.8 · Inception
MexicoLatin America and CaribbeanLow 0.3110.8510.62−0.23−2.101443%Energy Technologies 5.9 · Nascent
EcuadorLatin America and CaribbeanLow 0.246.766.53−0.23−3.4▲ 61127%Energy Technologies 1.7 · Inception
BoliviaLatin America and CaribbeanLow 0.235.114.88−0.23−4.4▲ 101123%Energy Technologies 1.5 · Inception
NorwayEuropeMedium 0.3814.6214.40−0.22−1.5▲ 18 · 1d55%Energy Technologies 9.9 · Transitional
EgyptGulf and Middle EastLow 0.258.988.77−0.21−2.3▲ 1836%Energy Technologies 4.7 · Nascent
VenezuelaLatin America and CaribbeanLow 0.204.554.35−0.21−4.6▲ 131219%Energy Technologies 1.9 · Inception
AustraliaIndo-PacificMedium 0.3614.9514.75−0.20−1.3▲ 1757%Energy Technologies 11.3 · Transitional
IsraelGulf and Middle EastLow 0.2814.4614.26−0.19−1.3▲ 29 · 1d48%Resource Infrastructure 10.1 · Transitional
ColombiaLatin America and CaribbeanLow 0.229.118.93−0.19−2.0▲ 31336%Energy Technologies 3.2 · Nascent
IraqGulf and Middle EastLow 0.194.694.50−0.19−4.0▲ 12522%Energy Technologies 1.2 · Inception
TurkmenistanRussia and EurasiaLow 0.183.553.36−0.19−5.3▲ 196 · 2d19%Energy Technologies 0.6 · Inception
ArgentinaLatin America and CaribbeanLow 0.239.259.07−0.18−2.0▲ 41039%Monetary & Currency Capability 5.9 · Nascent
KuwaitGulf and Middle EastLow 0.197.517.34−0.17−2.3▲ 5730%Energy Technologies 1.6 · Inception
BahrainGulf and Middle EastLow 0.187.327.15−0.17−2.3▲ 5928%Energy Technologies 1.4 · Inception
OmanGulf and Middle EastLow 0.198.037.87−0.16−2.0▲ 31234%Energy Technologies 2.4 · Inception
AzerbaijanRussia and EurasiaLow 0.186.796.63−0.16−2.4▲ 7430%Energy Technologies 1.8 · Inception
QatarGulf and Middle EastLow 0.199.399.24−0.15−1.6▲ 5337%Energy Technologies 3 · Nascent
IranGulf and Middle EastLow 0.178.178.02−0.15−1.8▲ 2435%Monetary & Currency Capability 5.7 · Nascent
BrazilLatin America and CaribbeanLow 0.2211.6911.55−0.14−1.2▲ 18 · 2d48%Energy Technologies 9.5 · Transitional
KazakhstanRussia and EurasiaLow 0.178.148.01−0.14−1.7▲ 21037%Energy Technologies 4.3 · Nascent
United Arab EmiratesGulf and Middle EastLow 0.1911.9411.81−0.13−1.1▲ 3747%Energy Technologies 7.7 · Foundational
Saudi ArabiaGulf and Middle EastLow 0.1811.1911.06−0.13−1.2▲ 3745%Energy Technologies 7.1 · Foundational
RussiaRussia and EurasiaLow 0.1612.3012.20−0.10−0.8▲ 3552%Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance 11.3 · Transitional
CanadaNorth AmericaLow 0.1515.0614.98−0.08−0.5▲ 2760%Energy Technologies 12.8 · Established
United StatesNorth AmericaLow 0.1118.0317.98−0.05−0.305 · 1d67%Government Effectiveness & Public Administration 15.7 · Advanced

Settings of this run

Load
9 capability groups singled out, 64 loaded in all, of 73. A band on the capability scale is three points wide, so a High load moves a fully exposed, unprotected capability down one band. A capability group that the scenario does not single out takes its domain's load one level lower.
Singled out
Energy TechnologiesHighResource InfrastructureHighEnergy InfrastructureHighGovernment Effectiveness & Public AdministrationHighMonetary & Currency CapabilityHighFiscal Capacity & Public FinanceHighEconomic Output & ProductivityHighIndustrial & Sectoral BaseHighEconomic Leverage & DependenceHigh
Buffers
Energy InfrastructureEnergy TechnologiesResource InfrastructureFiscal Capacity & Public FinanceNational Resilience & Crisis Management

Absorption is the nation's mean score on the scenario's buffer capabilities as a share of the top of the scale, times 0.75: a nation at the frontier on every buffer absorbs three quarters of the shock.

Exposure
share of oil and gas use not met by domestic production (60%); regional exposure (30%); industry as a share of gdp (ranked) (10%). Exposure is set nation by nation: a weighted blend of indicators from the 2025 World Factbook and the scenario's regional exposure. Where a nation does not report an indicator, its weight passes to the others.
Likelihood
22 per cent over three years and 40 per cent over ten, as used in the vulnerability index.
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