GINC 250 / Global health governance

Trend · rank 77 of 250

Global health governance

Governance & IntegrityHealth & Modern Sciencehealth systemsinstitutions

The rules, funding and authority of international health bodies, from outbreak reporting to pandemic agreements.

Sensitivity and network position

Rank77 of 250
Sensitivity11.8 · rank 144
Breadth2 of 24 scenarios High or above, 2 Critical
PageRank35.7 · rank 134
Eigenvector2.7
Betweenness57.7
Links15 trends at Moderate similarity or above
Composite30.4

Relation to each scenario

A trend relates to a scenario when it changes how likely the scenario is, how hard it lands, or is itself sharply changed by it. Scores are GINC desk judgements and will be replaced by the panel.

RelationScenarioFamily
6CriticalPandemic with a novel pathogen S14E Health
6CriticalHundred-day pandemic defence S24 ↗E Health
3ModerateBiomedical breakthrough wave S17 ↗E Health
1Very lowCatastrophic disaster in the core S10C Energy, climate and resources
1Very lowGreat-power détente and peace dividend S18 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedGeoeconomic confrontation S01A Economic and trade
0Not relatedSingle-supplier cut-off S02A Economic and trade
0Not relatedGlobal financial crisis S03A Economic and trade
0Not relatedSovereign funding crisis S04A Economic and trade
0Not relatedMaritime chokepoint closure S05B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedHybrid campaign by a hostile state S06B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedPolitical legitimacy crisis S07B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedMass displacement shock S08B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedEnergy supply shock S09C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedFood and water system shock S11C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedCritical infrastructure collapse S12D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedRapid AI diffusion shock S13D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedSuperintelligence takeoff S15 ↗D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedEnergy abundance breakthrough S16 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedCoordinated sovereign debt reset S19 ↗A Economic and trade
0Not relatedEmerging-market growth breakout S20 ↗A Economic and trade
0Not relatedMiddle East regional settlement S21 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedAgricultural yield revolution S22 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedDigital public infrastructure leapfrog S23 ↗D Technology and infrastructure

Similarity = 0.3 × shared tags (Jaccard) + 0.3 × likeness of scenario profiles (cosine) + 0.25 × likeness of names and descriptions (TF-IDF cosine) + 0.1 if in the same capability domain + 0.05 if in the same theme, cut into seven levels at 0.12, 0.22, 0.33, 0.45, 0.58, 0.72. Shown at Moderate and above.

SimilarityTrendParadigmRank
4HighPublic procurement reformGeoeconomics & Statecraft35
4HighHealthcare system reformHealth & Modern Science129
4HighHealth workforce shortageHealth & Modern Science135
3ModerateState capacity & deliveryGeoeconomics & Statecraft2
3ModeratePharmaceutical supply concentrationHealth & Modern Science40
3ModerateOfficial statistics & data capacityGeoeconomics & Statecraft81
3ModerateOutsourcing & public-private deliveryGeoeconomics & Statecraft101
3ModerateModern vaccinesHealth & Modern Science133
3ModerateChild & maternal healthHealth & Modern Science151
3ModerateChronic disease burdenHealth & Modern Science162
3ModerateZoonotic spillover & pandemic riskHealth & Modern Science163
3ModerateHygiene & sanitationHealth & Modern Science208
3ModerateAntimicrobial resistanceHealth & Modern Science211
3ModerateMental healthHealth & Modern Science222
3ModerateDigital & remote careHealth & Modern Science225