GINC 250 / Child & maternal health

Trend · rank 151 of 250

Child & maternal health

Human CapitalHealth & Modern Sciencehealth systemsdemography

Survival and health of mothers and young children, where progress has slowed as aid falls.

Sensitivity and network position

Rank151 of 250
Sensitivity15.3 · rank 92
Breadth2 of 24 scenarios High or above
PageRank32.7 · rank 148
Eigenvector0.6
Betweenness8.8
Links13 trends at Moderate similarity or above
Composite21.9

Relation to each scenario

A trend relates to a scenario when it changes how likely the scenario is, how hard it lands, or is itself sharply changed by it. Scores are GINC desk judgements and will be replaced by the panel.

RelationScenarioFamily
5Very highAgricultural yield revolution S22 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
4HighBiomedical breakthrough wave S17 ↗E Health
3ModerateFood and water system shock S11C Energy, climate and resources
2LowSovereign funding crisis S04A Economic and trade
2LowMass displacement shock S08B Geopolitical and security
2LowPandemic with a novel pathogen S14E Health
2LowCoordinated sovereign debt reset S19 ↗A Economic and trade
2LowHundred-day pandemic defence S24 ↗E Health
0Not relatedGeoeconomic confrontation S01A Economic and trade
0Not relatedSingle-supplier cut-off S02A Economic and trade
0Not relatedGlobal financial crisis S03A Economic and trade
0Not relatedMaritime chokepoint closure S05B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedHybrid campaign by a hostile state S06B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedPolitical legitimacy crisis S07B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedEnergy supply shock S09C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedCatastrophic disaster in the core S10C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedCritical infrastructure collapse S12D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedRapid AI diffusion shock S13D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedSuperintelligence takeoff S15 ↗D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedEnergy abundance breakthrough S16 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedGreat-power détente and peace dividend S18 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedEmerging-market growth breakout S20 ↗A Economic and trade
0Not relatedMiddle East regional settlement S21 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedDigital public infrastructure leapfrog S23 ↗D Technology and infrastructure

Similarity = 0.3 × shared tags (Jaccard) + 0.3 × likeness of scenario profiles (cosine) + 0.25 × likeness of names and descriptions (TF-IDF cosine) + 0.1 if in the same capability domain + 0.05 if in the same theme, cut into seven levels at 0.12, 0.22, 0.33, 0.45, 0.58, 0.72. Shown at Moderate and above.

SimilarityTrendParadigmRank
4HighHealthcare system reformHealth & Modern Science129
4HighHealth workforce shortageHealth & Modern Science135
4HighMental healthHealth & Modern Science222
3ModerateDemographic pressure in young nationsSociety & Culture28
3ModerateGlobal health governanceHealth & Modern Science77
3ModerateAgeing populationSociety & Culture106
3ModerateMalnutritionSociety & Culture112
3ModerateChronic disease burdenHealth & Modern Science162
3ModerateAI diagnostics & predictive healthHealth & Modern Science187
3ModerateCare economy & unpaid workSociety & Culture201
3ModerateHygiene & sanitationHealth & Modern Science208
3ModerateWomen's health & fertility careHealth & Modern Science217
3ModerateFalling fertility & population declineSociety & Culture218