GINC 250 / Hygiene & sanitation

Trend · rank 208 of 250

Hygiene & sanitation

Human CapitalHealth & Modern Sciencehealth systemswater

Public-health infrastructure and products for sanitation and hygiene, from WASH access in developing markets to infection control.

Sensitivity and network position

Rank208 of 250
Sensitivity11.1 · rank 149
Breadth1 of 24 scenarios High or above
PageRank22.9 · rank 212
Eigenvector0.4
Betweenness0.0
Links9 trends at Moderate similarity or above
Composite14.4

Relation to each scenario

A trend relates to a scenario when it changes how likely the scenario is, how hard it lands, or is itself sharply changed by it. Scores are GINC desk judgements and will be replaced by the panel.

RelationScenarioFamily
4HighPandemic with a novel pathogen S14E Health
3ModerateMass displacement shock S08B Geopolitical and security
3ModerateCatastrophic disaster in the core S10C Energy, climate and resources
3ModerateHundred-day pandemic defence S24 ↗E Health
2LowFood and water system shock S11C Energy, climate and resources
1Very lowBiomedical breakthrough wave S17 ↗E Health
0Not relatedGeoeconomic confrontation S01A Economic and trade
0Not relatedSingle-supplier cut-off S02A Economic and trade
0Not relatedGlobal financial crisis S03A Economic and trade
0Not relatedSovereign funding crisis S04A Economic and trade
0Not relatedMaritime chokepoint closure S05B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedHybrid campaign by a hostile state S06B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedPolitical legitimacy crisis S07B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedEnergy supply shock S09C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedCritical infrastructure collapse S12D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedRapid AI diffusion shock S13D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedSuperintelligence takeoff S15 ↗D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedEnergy abundance breakthrough S16 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedGreat-power détente and peace dividend S18 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedCoordinated sovereign debt reset S19 ↗A Economic and trade
0Not relatedEmerging-market growth breakout S20 ↗A Economic and trade
0Not relatedMiddle East regional settlement S21 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedAgricultural yield revolution S22 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedDigital public infrastructure leapfrog S23 ↗D Technology and infrastructure

Similarity = 0.3 × shared tags (Jaccard) + 0.3 × likeness of scenario profiles (cosine) + 0.25 × likeness of names and descriptions (TF-IDF cosine) + 0.1 if in the same capability domain + 0.05 if in the same theme, cut into seven levels at 0.12, 0.22, 0.33, 0.45, 0.58, 0.72. Shown at Moderate and above.

SimilarityTrendParadigmRank
4HighHealthcare system reformHealth & Modern Science129
4HighHealth workforce shortageHealth & Modern Science135
4HighMental healthHealth & Modern Science222
3ModerateGlobal health governanceHealth & Modern Science77
3ModerateChild & maternal healthHealth & Modern Science151
3ModerateChronic disease burdenHealth & Modern Science162
3ModerateZoonotic spillover & pandemic riskHealth & Modern Science163
3ModerateAntimicrobial resistanceHealth & Modern Science211
3ModerateDigital & remote careHealth & Modern Science225