GINC 250 / Malnutrition

Trend · rank 112 of 250

Malnutrition

Human CapitalSociety & Culturefood systemsinequality

Persistent undernutrition and micronutrient deficiency alongside rising food insecurity in vulnerable regions.

Sensitivity and network position

Rank112 of 250
Sensitivity16.0 · rank 75
Breadth2 of 24 scenarios High or above, 2 Critical
PageRank24.0 · rank 208
Eigenvector1.1
Betweenness40.5
Links8 trends at Moderate similarity or above
Composite26.1

Relation to each scenario

A trend relates to a scenario when it changes how likely the scenario is, how hard it lands, or is itself sharply changed by it. Scores are GINC desk judgements and will be replaced by the panel.

RelationScenarioFamily
6CriticalFood and water system shock S11C Energy, climate and resources
6CriticalAgricultural yield revolution S22 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
3ModerateSovereign funding crisis S04A Economic and trade
3ModerateMass displacement shock S08B Geopolitical and security
2LowBiomedical breakthrough wave S17 ↗E Health
2LowCoordinated sovereign debt reset S19 ↗A Economic and trade
1Very lowPandemic with a novel pathogen S14E Health
0Not relatedGeoeconomic confrontation S01A Economic and trade
0Not relatedSingle-supplier cut-off S02A Economic and trade
0Not relatedGlobal financial crisis S03A Economic and trade
0Not relatedMaritime chokepoint closure S05B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedHybrid campaign by a hostile state S06B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedPolitical legitimacy crisis S07B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedEnergy supply shock S09C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedCatastrophic disaster in the core S10C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedCritical infrastructure collapse S12D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedRapid AI diffusion shock S13D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedSuperintelligence takeoff S15 ↗D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedEnergy abundance breakthrough S16 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedGreat-power détente and peace dividend S18 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedEmerging-market growth breakout S20 ↗A Economic and trade
0Not relatedMiddle East regional settlement S21 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedDigital public infrastructure leapfrog S23 ↗D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedHundred-day pandemic defence S24 ↗E Health

Similarity = 0.3 × shared tags (Jaccard) + 0.3 × likeness of scenario profiles (cosine) + 0.25 × likeness of names and descriptions (TF-IDF cosine) + 0.1 if in the same capability domain + 0.05 if in the same theme, cut into seven levels at 0.12, 0.22, 0.33, 0.45, 0.58, 0.72. Shown at Moderate and above.

SimilarityTrendParadigmRank
3ModerateInequalitySociety & Culture25
3ModerateDemographic pressure in young nationsSociety & Culture28
3ModerateBreadbasket & food export concentrationEnergy & Environment94
3ModerateInformal employmentSociety & Culture113
3ModerateAgricultural technologyConsumer, Food & Retail138
3ModerateChild & maternal healthHealth & Modern Science151
3ModerateAlternative proteinsConsumer, Food & Retail194
3ModerateFood wasteConsumer, Food & Retail223