GINC 250 / Batteries & energy storage

Trend · rank 111 of 250

Batteries & energy storage

Production & InnovationEnergy & Environmentclean energypower

Advances in battery chemistry, manufacture and recycling, and grid-scale and long-duration storage balancing variable generation.

Sensitivity and network position

Rank111 of 250
Sensitivity16.7 · rank 68
Breadth4 of 24 scenarios High or above, 1 Critical
PageRank40.5 · rank 101
Eigenvector0.6
Betweenness14.2
Links15 trends at Moderate similarity or above
Composite26.2

Relation to each scenario

A trend relates to a scenario when it changes how likely the scenario is, how hard it lands, or is itself sharply changed by it. Scores are GINC desk judgements and will be replaced by the panel.

RelationScenarioFamily
6CriticalEnergy abundance breakthrough S16 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
5Very highEnergy supply shock S09C Energy, climate and resources
4HighSingle-supplier cut-off S02A Economic and trade
4HighCritical infrastructure collapse S12D Technology and infrastructure
3ModerateGeoeconomic confrontation S01A Economic and trade
2LowMaritime chokepoint closure S05B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedGlobal financial crisis S03A Economic and trade
0Not relatedSovereign funding crisis S04A Economic and trade
0Not relatedHybrid campaign by a hostile state S06B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedPolitical legitimacy crisis S07B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedMass displacement shock S08B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedCatastrophic disaster in the core S10C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedFood and water system shock S11C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedRapid AI diffusion shock S13D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedPandemic with a novel pathogen S14E Health
0Not relatedSuperintelligence takeoff S15 ↗D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedBiomedical breakthrough wave S17 ↗E Health
0Not relatedGreat-power détente and peace dividend S18 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedCoordinated sovereign debt reset S19 ↗A Economic and trade
0Not relatedEmerging-market growth breakout S20 ↗A Economic and trade
0Not relatedMiddle East regional settlement S21 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedAgricultural yield revolution S22 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedDigital public infrastructure leapfrog S23 ↗D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedHundred-day pandemic defence S24 ↗E Health

Similarity = 0.3 × shared tags (Jaccard) + 0.3 × likeness of scenario profiles (cosine) + 0.25 × likeness of names and descriptions (TF-IDF cosine) + 0.1 if in the same capability domain + 0.05 if in the same theme, cut into seven levels at 0.12, 0.22, 0.33, 0.45, 0.58, 0.72. Shown at Moderate and above.

SimilarityTrendParadigmRank
5Very highRenewable energyEnergy & Environment55
5Very highDistributed powerEnergy & Environment84
5Very highAdvanced nuclearEnergy & Environment179
5Very highSolar & storage cost collapseEnergy & Environment186
4HighHydrogen & low-carbon fuelsEnergy & Environment185
4HighEnhanced geothermalEnergy & Environment213
3ModerateElectrification of heat, transport & industryEnergy & Environment30
3ModerateGrid enhancementEnergy & Environment108
3ModerateLoss of firm & black-start capacityEnergy & Environment164
3ModerateEnergy povertyEnergy & Environment176
3ModerateDemand flexibility & smart meteringEnergy & Environment197
3ModerateElectric transportIndustrials, Manufacturing & Transportation202
3ModerateCarbon capture, utilisation & storageEnergy & Environment216
3ModerateFusion energyEnergy & Environment235
3ModerateCircular materials & recyclingEnergy & Environment239