GINC 250 / Telecom network resilience

Trend · rank 107 of 250

Telecom network resilience

Strategic InfrastructureTechnology & Financialsconnectivityresilience

Backup power, route diversity and repair capacity in mobile and fixed networks.

Sensitivity and network position

Rank107 of 250
Sensitivity13.2 · rank 124
Breadth4 of 24 scenarios High or above, 1 Critical
PageRank34.4 · rank 143
Eigenvector0.8
Betweenness36.6
Links12 trends at Moderate similarity or above
Composite26.6

Relation to each scenario

A trend relates to a scenario when it changes how likely the scenario is, how hard it lands, or is itself sharply changed by it. Scores are GINC desk judgements and will be replaced by the panel.

RelationScenarioFamily
6CriticalCritical infrastructure collapse S12D Technology and infrastructure
4HighHybrid campaign by a hostile state S06B Geopolitical and security
4HighCatastrophic disaster in the core S10C Energy, climate and resources
4HighDigital public infrastructure leapfrog S23 ↗D Technology and infrastructure
1Very lowPandemic with a novel pathogen S14E Health
0Not relatedGeoeconomic confrontation S01A Economic and trade
0Not relatedSingle-supplier cut-off S02A Economic and trade
0Not relatedGlobal financial crisis S03A Economic and trade
0Not relatedSovereign funding crisis S04A Economic and trade
0Not relatedMaritime chokepoint closure S05B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedPolitical legitimacy crisis S07B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedMass displacement shock S08B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedEnergy supply shock S09C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedFood and water system shock S11C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedRapid AI diffusion shock S13D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedSuperintelligence takeoff S15 ↗D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedEnergy abundance breakthrough S16 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedBiomedical breakthrough wave S17 ↗E Health
0Not relatedGreat-power détente and peace dividend S18 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedCoordinated sovereign debt reset S19 ↗A Economic and trade
0Not relatedEmerging-market growth breakout S20 ↗A Economic and trade
0Not relatedMiddle East regional settlement S21 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedAgricultural yield revolution S22 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedHundred-day pandemic defence S24 ↗E Health

Similarity = 0.3 × shared tags (Jaccard) + 0.3 × likeness of scenario profiles (cosine) + 0.25 × likeness of names and descriptions (TF-IDF cosine) + 0.1 if in the same capability domain + 0.05 if in the same theme, cut into seven levels at 0.12, 0.22, 0.33, 0.45, 0.58, 0.72. Shown at Moderate and above.

SimilarityTrendParadigmRank
5Very highNext-generation mobile networksTechnology & Financials221
4HighCritical infrastructure protectionIndustrials, Manufacturing & Transportation131
4HighInternet of ThingsTechnology & Financials207
3ModerateWhole-of-society resilienceGeoeconomics & Statecraft76
3ModerateEarly-warning systemsEnergy & Environment80
3ModerateInfrastructure ageingEnergy & Environment109
3ModerateSubsea cable & pipeline vulnerabilityIndustrials, Manufacturing & Transportation126
3ModerateSpace weather exposureEnergy & Environment170
3ModerateGNSS & timing dependenceTechnology & Financials171
3ModerateSmart cities & buildingsSociety & Culture174
3ModerateCash decline & payment dependenceTechnology & Financials188
3ModerateBuilding codes & resilient constructionIndustrials, Manufacturing & Transportation206