GINC 250 / Reskilling & education technology

Trend · rank 169 of 250

Reskilling & education technology

Human CapitalSociety & Culturework skillsai

Continuous retraining across careers and the digital platforms and AI tutors changing how education is delivered and paid for.

Sensitivity and network position

Rank169 of 250
Sensitivity6.3 · rank 212
Breadth1 of 24 scenarios High or above
PageRank37.0 · rank 126
Eigenvector4.0
Betweenness22.0
Links17 trends at Moderate similarity or above
Composite20.1

Relation to each scenario

A trend relates to a scenario when it changes how likely the scenario is, how hard it lands, or is itself sharply changed by it. Scores are GINC desk judgements and will be replaced by the panel.

RelationScenarioFamily
5Very highRapid AI diffusion shock S13D Technology and infrastructure
3ModerateSuperintelligence takeoff S15 ↗D Technology and infrastructure
1Very lowPandemic with a novel pathogen S14E Health
0Not relatedGeoeconomic confrontation S01A Economic and trade
0Not relatedSingle-supplier cut-off S02A Economic and trade
0Not relatedGlobal financial crisis S03A Economic and trade
0Not relatedSovereign funding crisis S04A Economic and trade
0Not relatedMaritime chokepoint closure S05B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedHybrid campaign by a hostile state S06B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedPolitical legitimacy crisis S07B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedMass displacement shock S08B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedEnergy supply shock S09C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedCatastrophic disaster in the core S10C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedFood and water system shock S11C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedCritical infrastructure collapse S12D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedEnergy abundance breakthrough S16 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedBiomedical breakthrough wave S17 ↗E Health
0Not relatedGreat-power détente and peace dividend S18 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedCoordinated sovereign debt reset S19 ↗A Economic and trade
0Not relatedEmerging-market growth breakout S20 ↗A Economic and trade
0Not relatedMiddle East regional settlement S21 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedAgricultural yield revolution S22 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedDigital public infrastructure leapfrog S23 ↗D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedHundred-day pandemic defence S24 ↗E Health

Similarity = 0.3 × shared tags (Jaccard) + 0.3 × likeness of scenario profiles (cosine) + 0.25 × likeness of names and descriptions (TF-IDF cosine) + 0.1 if in the same capability domain + 0.05 if in the same theme, cut into seven levels at 0.12, 0.22, 0.33, 0.45, 0.58, 0.72. Shown at Moderate and above.

SimilarityTrendParadigmRank
6CriticalGraduate labour market squeezeSociety & Culture132
5Very highAI agents & knowledge-work automationTechnology & Financials128
5Very highChanging nature of workSociety & Culture205
4HighLearning loss & education qualitySociety & Culture154
3ModerateArtificial intelligenceTechnology & Financials27
3ModerateFrontier model concentrationTechnology & Financials63
3ModerateCapital concentration in AIGeoeconomics & Statecraft74
3ModerateYouth unemployment & lack of opportunitySociety & Culture78
3ModerateBrain drain & talent migrationSociety & Culture92
3ModerateAutomated AI researchTechnology & Financials119
3ModerateOpen-weight AI diffusionTechnology & Financials134
3ModerateTalent & labour shortagesSociety & Culture137
3ModerateAI safety & governanceTechnology & Financials152
3ModerateHumanoid roboticsTechnology & Financials157
3ModerateAutonomous vehiclesIndustrials, Manufacturing & Transportation183
3ModerateAI diagnostics & predictive healthHealth & Modern Science187
3ModerateInternational student flowsSociety & Culture224