GINC 250 / Gender equality & inclusion

Trend · rank 219 of 250

Gender equality & inclusion

Human CapitalSociety & Cultureinequalitywork skills

Women's economic participation, health and rights, and wider efforts on representation, now a contested area of policy.

Sensitivity and network position

Rank219 of 250
Sensitivity6.3 · rank 213
Breadth0 of 24 scenarios High or above
PageRank27.5 · rank 184
Eigenvector0.9
Betweenness1.5
Links10 trends at Moderate similarity or above
Composite12.8

Relation to each scenario

A trend relates to a scenario when it changes how likely the scenario is, how hard it lands, or is itself sharply changed by it. Scores are GINC desk judgements and will be replaced by the panel.

RelationScenarioFamily
3ModerateEmerging-market growth breakout S20 ↗A Economic and trade
2LowDigital public infrastructure leapfrog S23 ↗D Technology and infrastructure
1Very lowPolitical legitimacy crisis S07B Geopolitical and security
1Very lowMass displacement shock S08B Geopolitical and security
1Very lowBiomedical breakthrough wave S17 ↗E Health
1Very lowCoordinated sovereign debt reset S19 ↗A Economic and trade
0Not relatedGeoeconomic confrontation S01A Economic and trade
0Not relatedSingle-supplier cut-off S02A Economic and trade
0Not relatedGlobal financial crisis S03A Economic and trade
0Not relatedSovereign funding crisis S04A Economic and trade
0Not relatedMaritime chokepoint closure S05B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedHybrid campaign by a hostile state S06B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedEnergy supply shock S09C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedCatastrophic disaster in the core S10C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedFood and water system shock S11C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedCritical infrastructure collapse S12D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedRapid AI diffusion shock S13D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedPandemic with a novel pathogen S14E Health
0Not relatedSuperintelligence takeoff S15 ↗D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedEnergy abundance breakthrough S16 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedGreat-power détente and peace dividend S18 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedMiddle East regional settlement S21 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedAgricultural yield revolution S22 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedHundred-day pandemic defence S24 ↗E Health

Similarity = 0.3 × shared tags (Jaccard) + 0.3 × likeness of scenario profiles (cosine) + 0.25 × likeness of names and descriptions (TF-IDF cosine) + 0.1 if in the same capability domain + 0.05 if in the same theme, cut into seven levels at 0.12, 0.22, 0.33, 0.45, 0.58, 0.72. Shown at Moderate and above.

SimilarityTrendParadigmRank
5Very highYouth unemployment & lack of opportunitySociety & Culture78
5Very highInformal employmentSociety & Culture113
5Very highLearning loss & education qualitySociety & Culture154
3ModerateInequalitySociety & Culture25
3ModerateDemographic pressure in young nationsSociety & Culture28
3ModerateBrain drain & talent migrationSociety & Culture92
3ModerateTalent & labour shortagesSociety & Culture137
3ModerateEmerging middle classSociety & Culture193
3ModerateFinancial inclusionTechnology & Financials195
3ModerateChanging nature of workSociety & Culture205