GINC 250 / AI-accelerated science

Trend · rank 56 of 250

AI-accelerated science

Critical TechnologyTechnology & Financialsaibiotech

AI systems speeding discovery in biology, materials and energy, shortening the path from hypothesis to result.

Broken out from Artificial intelligence

Sensitivity and network position

Rank56 of 250
Sensitivity16.7 · rank 74
Breadth5 of 24 scenarios High or above, 1 Critical
PageRank35.1 · rank 137
Eigenvector3.0
Betweenness54.4
Links12 trends at Moderate similarity or above
Composite32.9

Relation to each scenario

A trend relates to a scenario when it changes how likely the scenario is, how hard it lands, or is itself sharply changed by it. Scores are GINC desk judgements and will be replaced by the panel.

RelationScenarioFamily
6CriticalSuperintelligence takeoff S15 ↗D Technology and infrastructure
5Very highBiomedical breakthrough wave S17 ↗E Health
4HighEnergy abundance breakthrough S16 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
4HighAgricultural yield revolution S22 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
4HighHundred-day pandemic defence S24 ↗E Health
1Very lowRapid AI diffusion shock S13D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedGeoeconomic confrontation S01A Economic and trade
0Not relatedSingle-supplier cut-off S02A Economic and trade
0Not relatedGlobal financial crisis S03A Economic and trade
0Not relatedSovereign funding crisis S04A Economic and trade
0Not relatedMaritime chokepoint closure S05B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedHybrid campaign by a hostile state S06B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedPolitical legitimacy crisis S07B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedMass displacement shock S08B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedEnergy supply shock S09C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedCatastrophic disaster in the core S10C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedFood and water system shock S11C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedCritical infrastructure collapse S12D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedPandemic with a novel pathogen S14E Health
0Not relatedGreat-power détente and peace dividend S18 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedCoordinated sovereign debt reset S19 ↗A Economic and trade
0Not relatedEmerging-market growth breakout S20 ↗A Economic and trade
0Not relatedMiddle East regional settlement S21 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedDigital public infrastructure leapfrog S23 ↗D Technology and infrastructure

Similarity = 0.3 × shared tags (Jaccard) + 0.3 × likeness of scenario profiles (cosine) + 0.25 × likeness of names and descriptions (TF-IDF cosine) + 0.1 if in the same capability domain + 0.05 if in the same theme, cut into seven levels at 0.12, 0.22, 0.33, 0.45, 0.58, 0.72. Shown at Moderate and above.

SimilarityTrendParadigmRank
4HighArtificial intelligenceTechnology & Financials27
4HighAutomated AI researchTechnology & Financials119
4HighAI drug developmentHealth & Modern Science142
4HighSynthetic biology & biomanufacturingHealth & Modern Science158
4HighGene editing & cell therapiesHealth & Modern Science182
4HighPrecision medicine & oncologyHealth & Modern Science209
3ModerateCompute scaling & AI infrastructureTechnology & Financials17
3ModerateFrontier model concentrationTechnology & Financials63
3ModerateAdaptive regulationGeoeconomics & Statecraft118
3ModerateModern vaccinesHealth & Modern Science133
3ModerateOpen-weight AI diffusionTechnology & Financials134
3ModerateHumanoid roboticsTechnology & Financials157