GINC 250 / Gene editing & cell therapies

Trend · rank 182 of 250

Gene editing & cell therapies

Critical TechnologyHealth & Modern Sciencebiotech

Editing genomes with tools such as CRISPR for therapy, agriculture and industrial biology, with one-time gene and cell treatments moving from rare diseases towards common ones.

Sensitivity and network position

Rank182 of 250
Sensitivity11.1 · rank 150
Breadth2 of 24 scenarios High or above
PageRank25.2 · rank 202
Eigenvector0.3
Betweenness17.4
Links7 trends at Moderate similarity or above
Composite18.5

Relation to each scenario

A trend relates to a scenario when it changes how likely the scenario is, how hard it lands, or is itself sharply changed by it. Scores are GINC desk judgements and will be replaced by the panel.

RelationScenarioFamily
5Very highBiomedical breakthrough wave S17 ↗E Health
5Very highAgricultural yield revolution S22 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
2LowFood and water system shock S11C Energy, climate and resources
2LowPandemic with a novel pathogen S14E Health
2LowSuperintelligence takeoff S15 ↗D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedGeoeconomic confrontation S01A Economic and trade
0Not relatedSingle-supplier cut-off S02A Economic and trade
0Not relatedGlobal financial crisis S03A Economic and trade
0Not relatedSovereign funding crisis S04A Economic and trade
0Not relatedMaritime chokepoint closure S05B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedHybrid campaign by a hostile state S06B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedPolitical legitimacy crisis S07B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedMass displacement shock S08B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedEnergy supply shock S09C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedCatastrophic disaster in the core S10C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedCritical infrastructure collapse S12D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedRapid AI diffusion shock S13D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedEnergy abundance breakthrough S16 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedGreat-power détente and peace dividend S18 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedCoordinated sovereign debt reset S19 ↗A Economic and trade
0Not relatedEmerging-market growth breakout S20 ↗A Economic and trade
0Not relatedMiddle East regional settlement S21 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedDigital public infrastructure leapfrog S23 ↗D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedHundred-day pandemic defence S24 ↗E Health

Similarity = 0.3 × shared tags (Jaccard) + 0.3 × likeness of scenario profiles (cosine) + 0.25 × likeness of names and descriptions (TF-IDF cosine) + 0.1 if in the same capability domain + 0.05 if in the same theme, cut into seven levels at 0.12, 0.22, 0.33, 0.45, 0.58, 0.72. Shown at Moderate and above.

SimilarityTrendParadigmRank
5Very highSynthetic biology & biomanufacturingHealth & Modern Science158
5Very highPrecision medicine & oncologyHealth & Modern Science209
4HighAI-accelerated scienceTechnology & Financials56
4HighModern vaccinesHealth & Modern Science133
3ModerateAI drug developmentHealth & Modern Science142
3ModerateAlternative proteinsConsumer, Food & Retail194
3ModerateBiosecurity & dual-use biologyHealth & Modern Science203