GINC 250 / Crypto-assets & tokenisation

Trend · rank 228 of 250

Crypto-assets & tokenisation

Financial StrengthTechnology & Financialsdigital finance

Distributed ledgers, tokens and digital currencies moving from speculation towards regulated assets, tokenised securities and portable ownership records.

Sensitivity and network position

Rank228 of 250
Sensitivity7.6 · rank 197
Breadth0 of 24 scenarios High or above
PageRank19.1 · rank 223
Eigenvector2.0
Betweenness0.5
Links6 trends at Moderate similarity or above
Composite11.2

Relation to each scenario

A trend relates to a scenario when it changes how likely the scenario is, how hard it lands, or is itself sharply changed by it. Scores are GINC desk judgements and will be replaced by the panel.

RelationScenarioFamily
3ModerateGlobal financial crisis S03A Economic and trade
2LowSovereign funding crisis S04A Economic and trade
2LowMass displacement shock S08B Geopolitical and security
2LowDigital public infrastructure leapfrog S23 ↗D Technology and infrastructure
1Very lowGeoeconomic confrontation S01A Economic and trade
1Very lowCritical infrastructure collapse S12D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedSingle-supplier cut-off S02A Economic and trade
0Not relatedMaritime chokepoint closure S05B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedHybrid campaign by a hostile state S06B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedPolitical legitimacy crisis S07B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedEnergy supply shock S09C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedCatastrophic disaster in the core S10C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedFood and water system shock S11C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedRapid AI diffusion shock S13D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedPandemic with a novel pathogen S14E Health
0Not relatedSuperintelligence takeoff S15 ↗D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedEnergy abundance breakthrough S16 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedBiomedical breakthrough wave S17 ↗E Health
0Not relatedGreat-power détente and peace dividend S18 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedCoordinated sovereign debt reset S19 ↗A Economic and trade
0Not relatedEmerging-market growth breakout S20 ↗A Economic and trade
0Not relatedMiddle East regional settlement S21 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedAgricultural yield revolution S22 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedHundred-day pandemic defence S24 ↗E Health

Similarity = 0.3 × shared tags (Jaccard) + 0.3 × likeness of scenario profiles (cosine) + 0.25 × likeness of names and descriptions (TF-IDF cosine) + 0.1 if in the same capability domain + 0.05 if in the same theme, cut into seven levels at 0.12, 0.22, 0.33, 0.45, 0.58, 0.72. Shown at Moderate and above.

SimilarityTrendParadigmRank
5Very highStablecoins & digital currenciesTechnology & Financials86
5Very highDigital payments & FinTechTechnology & Financials192
4HighBank resilience & deposit flightGeoeconomics & Statecraft155
3ModerateDigital public infrastructureTechnology & Financials103
3ModerateRemittance dependenceSociety & Culture130
3ModerateCash decline & payment dependenceTechnology & Financials188