GINC 250 / Geospatial technology

Trend · rank 220 of 250

Geospatial technology

Critical TechnologyTechnology & Financialsspace geo

Satellite imagery, positioning and location analytics used for mapping, monitoring and decision-making across agriculture, logistics, insurance and defence.

Sensitivity and network position

Rank220 of 250
Sensitivity12.5 · rank 126
Breadth0 of 24 scenarios High or above
PageRank13.5 · rank 233
Eigenvector0.4
Betweenness1.7
Links4 trends at Moderate similarity or above
Composite12.8

Relation to each scenario

A trend relates to a scenario when it changes how likely the scenario is, how hard it lands, or is itself sharply changed by it. Scores are GINC desk judgements and will be replaced by the panel.

RelationScenarioFamily
3ModerateMaritime chokepoint closure S05B Geopolitical and security
3ModerateHybrid campaign by a hostile state S06B Geopolitical and security
3ModerateCatastrophic disaster in the core S10C Energy, climate and resources
3ModerateFood and water system shock S11C Energy, climate and resources
3ModerateAgricultural yield revolution S22 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
1Very lowMass displacement shock S08B Geopolitical and security
1Very lowCritical infrastructure collapse S12D Technology and infrastructure
1Very lowGreat-power détente and peace dividend S18 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedGeoeconomic confrontation S01A Economic and trade
0Not relatedSingle-supplier cut-off S02A Economic and trade
0Not relatedGlobal financial crisis S03A Economic and trade
0Not relatedSovereign funding crisis S04A Economic and trade
0Not relatedPolitical legitimacy crisis S07B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedEnergy supply shock S09C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedRapid AI diffusion shock S13D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedPandemic with a novel pathogen S14E Health
0Not relatedSuperintelligence takeoff S15 ↗D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedEnergy abundance breakthrough S16 ↗C Energy, climate and resources
0Not relatedBiomedical breakthrough wave S17 ↗E Health
0Not relatedCoordinated sovereign debt reset S19 ↗A Economic and trade
0Not relatedEmerging-market growth breakout S20 ↗A Economic and trade
0Not relatedMiddle East regional settlement S21 ↗B Geopolitical and security
0Not relatedDigital public infrastructure leapfrog S23 ↗D Technology and infrastructure
0Not relatedHundred-day pandemic defence S24 ↗E Health

Similarity = 0.3 × shared tags (Jaccard) + 0.3 × likeness of scenario profiles (cosine) + 0.25 × likeness of names and descriptions (TF-IDF cosine) + 0.1 if in the same capability domain + 0.05 if in the same theme, cut into seven levels at 0.12, 0.22, 0.33, 0.45, 0.58, 0.72. Shown at Moderate and above.

SimilarityTrendParadigmRank
4HighSpace economyIndustrials, Manufacturing & Transportation232
3ModerateGNSS & timing dependenceTechnology & Financials171
3ModerateOpen-source intelligence & transparencyTechnology & Financials204
3ModerateSatellite mega-constellationsIndustrials, Manufacturing & Transportation229